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China-India Stand-Off and the Emerging World Order

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The Recent showdown between  People’s Liberation Army and Indian Army has escalated the situation in Galwan valley along the  Line of Actual Control  (LAC) Between China and India. The unarmed fight resulted in the killing of 20 Indian Soldiers while the casualties on China side have not been confirmed yet.

The analysts link the fight with Indian Unilateral move on August 05 2019, when it annexed the disputed territory of  Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh by repealing article 370. 

This move irked both Pakistan and china and both raised the issue at UNSC and UNGA and recorded their protest against such unilateral move that was tantamount to UN Security Council Resolutions that asked for holding a plebiscite in disputed  Jammu and Kashmir

Unfortunately, India has worst diplomatic relations with its neighbours such as Afghanistan, China, Pakistan, Nepal, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka. It has used all its resources to destabilize neighbouring states especially Pakistan, Nepal, Bangladesh and  Sri Lanka. 

The recent clash has serious repercussion after 40  years when both Nations clashed in 1962. The war clouds are looming as both Nations are preparing to engage in a full-scale war that might be disastrous for the whole region. So much so that  UK  Newspapers called it World War –III as two biggest South Asian Countries engaged in fighting that was a heavy blow to Fascist Modi who is the mastermind of Muslim Massacre and Genocide. 

Even linked  Covid-19 outbreak with Muslims, that showed his Hindutva mindset and stupidity. The Indian reaction to boycott Chinese Brands will cost the heavily economically as world economies are already fragile owing to two-month lockdown that has paralyzed the business and Trade and limited people to their houses.

Pakistan has been watching the emerging situation after  June 15 Clash between Chinese PLA and Indian Army, is ready to defend its frontiers as Forces put on Red Alert.

The high-level negotiations were held to deescalate the situation but all efforts of peacemaking have not produced positive results and Modi’s BJP is underfire internally since Congress has been posing hard questions as Chinese forces are present in areas claimed by India.

There are protests in Nepal against India as new released Map has reflected some disputed areas in India that have also sparked protests in Nepal. Though India still enjoys support from the US especially from President Donald Trump he is himself under pressure from Republicans owing to his failure to manage the pandemic and the cases are soaring each day.

America is worst affected by the pandemic with the maximum number of infections and deaths over one lac. India has also close relations with Israel and has purchased fighter jets and other war-related items.

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The recent mysterious bomb blasts targeting Iran’s Nuclear Installations and army camps have raised serious questions on the state of Iran’s internal l security measures as well as it let everybody wondering that who was behind the attacks but Iran has blamed Israel for the blasts.

Though none has accepted the responsibility of attacks, Iran has alleged Israel as Israel is the soul of the US and may be involved in a bombing incident.

The conflict will expand in the Middle East and South Asia if Iran takes aggressive action against Israel and on the other hand  If China and India engage in a full-scale war

The situation is getting tougher and complicated day by as US has been struggling to tackle with the pandemic issue that has infected millions of American baffling  US President Donald to the extent that It power game is waning each passing day and Global influence is declining due to economic crisis and massive unemployment owing to the pandemic.

The pandemic has forced hundreds of companies to lay off staff as they could not afford to pay the salaries of Staff given the lockdowns imposed by various Governments in the world as well as the sense of uncertainty gripping the enterprises and startups.

Though the health companies, Pharma and Tech companies, online stores and markets are booming with profit the most profitable business, travel and Tour, entertainment and Hotel Business and wedding Party and Even management Companies have almost been closed for an indefinite period owing to the restrictions placed by the Governments to control the outbreak of Covid-19.

US being superpower has been weakened or jolted by the pandemic and gradually losing its hold on world Affairs. On the contrary, China has been regaining the control and even declared itself superpower of the world. The World order is constantly changing and china has put itself in a strong geostrategic position even in the time of Pandemic.

Recent China and Iran Pact have further paved the for the success of CPEC since  Iran may join CPEC to make its oil available to China, Pakistan and  Central Asian Muslim Countries.

The inclusion of Iran in CPEC may further Isolate  India in the region since it will be surrounded by all sides i.e. China, Pakistan, Afghanistan and Iran. Pakistan may play a leading role in the region since America has lost a sincere ally in South Asia.”

Pakistan Army and Civilian Leadership played a pivotal role peacemaking in Afghanistan by bringing the Taliban on the negotiation table and signing the deal with the US providing safe passage to US Troops Withdrawal.

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Turkey also emerging great power and may have a role in changing world order where US, UK may fade in history books as some international Policy Experts are of the view that Pandemic has provided a golden chance to countries like China to play a leading role as American hegemony has bitten the dust.

The upcoming  Presidential Elections will carve the future of America as Trump Administration has completely failed to manage and control Covid-19 and even put curbs on new Testing  Policy which is already under fire from his  Rival  Political  Party the  Democrats, especially the  Presidential Election Nominee  Joe Biden.

The November is just two months away and these  Presidential Elections will be both violent and historical since the African American will support Democrats as they are fed up with Trump over racist thoughts especially brutal Killing of  African American George Floyd that prompted worldwide  Protests against racism and Police  Brutalities. 

The  Recent deal between Israel and UAE inked with efforts  Donald Trump has irked both Arab and  Non Arab Nations as recognition of  Israel will have serious repercussions on the Muslim world

 Efforts are being made by Turkey, Iran, Pakistan to form a new  Block as Since  Independence  Pakistan has clear Policy that it will never recognize Israel until Establishment of  Palestine  State as per the wishes of  People of  Palestine.  

Pakistan is the only Islamic country in the world that has reflected on its Passport that it is valid for all countries except Israel sending a strong message that It will never recognize Israel as it is an occupant.

Though at the moment, Pakistan is under pressure from the US  to recognize Israel this will not happen any time soon. The statement of  Foreign Minister Shah Mehmood  Qureshi has escalated  Pak Saudi diplomatic relations as Qureshi criticized that  OIC has not adopted the strong stance on Kashmir Issue. Though  Army Chief along with ISI chief paid a visit to Saudi Arab to mend ways but Pakistan’s weak economic structure will compel it to bow down before Pressure.

China is playing on the front foot as it’s expedition inside  Indian Controlled areas is advancing rapidly the escalation is high. The weakened structure of the US has given birth to new regional powers carving new world order as the US is waning due to wrong policies of  Donald. The emerging situation is favouring China, Russia, Turkey, Iran and Pakistan.

Analysis

China warns US to choose between cooperation or confrontation: Blinken given ultimatum

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According to reports, China has warned the United States that it must choose between “cooperation or confrontation” in their relationship. The comments were made by Yang Jiechi, a senior Chinese diplomat, during a virtual meeting with US Secretary of State Antony Blinken. The meeting was the first high-level talks between the two countries since President Joe Biden took office.

The warning comes amid growing tensions between the US and China over a range of issues, including trade, human rights, and Taiwan. The two countries have been engaged in a trade war since 2018, which has seen both sides impose tariffs on each other’s goods. In addition, the US has imposed sanctions on Chinese officials over the treatment of Uighur Muslims in Xinjiang, while China has been accused of cracking down on democracy in Hong Kong.

The meeting between Blinken and Yang was described as “tough” and “frank” by both sides. While the US has said it wants to work with China on issues such as climate change and the pandemic, it has also called on China to respect human rights and stop its aggressive actions in the South China Sea.

Diplomatic Ultimatum

China's warning to US: "co-operation or confrontation."

China has warned the United States sternly, stating that it must choose between cooperation or confrontation. The ultimatum was delivered by China’s top diplomat, Yang Jiechi, during a virtual meeting with US Secretary of State, Antony Blinken.

Blink en’s Response

Blinken responded that the US is not seeking confrontation with China, but rather wants to ensure that the relationship between the two countries is based on “fairness, reciprocity and respect for international rules and norms.” He also emphasised the importance of addressing human rights issues in China, including the treatment of Uyghur Muslims in Xinjiang.

US-China Relations

The relationship between the US and China has been strained in recent years, with both countries engaging in a trade war and accusing each other of human rights abuses. China’s warning to the US comes as tensions continue to rise between the two nations.

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It remains to be seen how the US will respond to China’s ultimatum, but the relationship between the two countries will be a key issue in international relations for the foreseeable future.

Areas of Cooperation and Confrontation

China warns US, emphasizing choice between cooperation or confrontation. Tension evident in body language and facial expressions

China and the United States have a complex relationship, with areas of both cooperation and confrontation. The following are some of the key areas where the two countries have worked together and where they have faced challenges.

Trade and Economic Policies

China and the United States are two of the world’s largest economies, and their trade relationship is critical to the global economy. However, the two countries have had a long-standing trade dispute, with the US accusing China of unfair trade practices, intellectual property theft, and currency manipulation. This has led to the imposition of tariffs on both sides, which has hurt businesses and consumers in both countries.

Military and Security Issues

China’s growing military power and territorial ambitions have raised concerns in the United States and other countries in the region. The US has accused China of militarizing the South China Sea, and has increased its military presence in the region in response. The two countries have also clashed over Taiwan, with the US supporting the island’s independence and China claiming it as part of its territory.

Human Rights and Cybersecurity

The US has raised concerns about China’s human rights record, particularly in relation to Tibet, Xinjiang, and Hong Kong. China has been accused of suppressing dissent, cracking down on religious and ethnic minorities, and violating international human rights standards. The two countries have also clashed over cybersecurity, with the US accusing China of state-sponsored hacking and cyber espionage.

In conclusion, the relationship between China and the United States is complex, with cooperation and confrontation in several key areas. While there are challenges to be addressed, there are also opportunities for the two countries to work together to address global issues such as climate change and economic development.

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Implications for International Relations

China's warning to US: "Co-operation or confrontation" in international relations

Allies’ Reactions

China’s warning to the US about the need to choose between “cooperation or confrontation” has implications for international relations, particularly about how US allies will react. The US has traditionally relied on its allies in the Asia-Pacific region to help counterbalance China’s growing influence. However, some of these allies, such as Japan and South Korea, have been hesitant to take a hardline stance against China, preferring instead to maintain good economic relations with their neighbour.

The recent warning from China could further complicate matters for the US and its allies, as it may force them to choose between maintaining good economic relations with China or siding with the US in a potential confrontation. This could lead to a fracturing of the US-led alliance system in the region, which could ultimately benefit China.

Global Strategic Balance

China’s warning also has implications for the global strategic balance. The US has been increasingly concerned about China’s military modernisation and its growing influence in the Asia-Pacific region. The US has responded by increasing its military presence in the region and strengthening its alliances with countries such as Japan and South Korea.

However, China’s warning could be seen as a challenge to the US’s strategic position in the region. If the US were to back down in the face of China’s warning, it could be seen as a sign of weakness, which could embolden China to further assert its influence in the region.

On the other hand, if the US were to take a hardline stance against China, it could risk escalating tensions and potentially even leading to a military confrontation. This would have serious implications for the global strategic balance, particularly given the nuclear capabilities of both countries.

Overall, China’s warning to the US has significant implications for international relations and the global strategic balance. The US and its allies will need to carefully consider their response in order to maintain stability and avoid further escalating tensions in the region.

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Analysis

Understanding China’s Alternative Order and Lessons for America

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The vision of Chinese President Xi Jinping for a new global order is reshaping international dynamics. This agenda seeks to challenge traditional Western dominance and establish a multipolar system based on Chinese principles. As China works towards redefining global institutions, norms, and power structures, it prompts a critical examination of the implications for the United States and the international community. This is especially important in today’s rapidly evolving global landscape.

China’s Vision for a New World Order

President Xi Jinping’s vision for a new global order is rooted in the idea of a “community with a shared future for mankind.” This vision encompasses key initiatives such as the Belt and Road Initiative, the Global Development Initiative, the Global Security Initiative, and the Global Civilization Initiative. By promoting common security, economic development, and state-determined political rights, China seeks to position itself as a central player in shaping the future of international relations.

Assessing China’s Progress and Challenges

While China’s aspirations for global leadership are evident, the effectiveness of its strategies and the reception from the international community are subject to scrutiny. Despite Beijing’s efforts to expand its influence, there are indications of setbacks and resistance. China’s assertive diplomatic approach, characterized by the “Wolf Warrior” style, has raised concerns and alienated potential allies. Additionally, economic challenges and growing scepticism towards China’s intentions have hindered its quest for global acceptance.

Lessons for America

As China’s alternative order gains momentum, the United States must reassess its approach to international relations and global leadership. By understanding the motivations behind China’s initiatives and the responses they elicit, America can adapt its strategies to navigate this evolving geopolitical landscape effectively. Embracing a nuanced perspective that acknowledges both China’s ambitions and limitations can inform a more constructive engagement with Beijing and the broader international community.

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Real-Time Data and Analysis

Recent data from the 2023 Pew Research Center study highlights the global perceptions of China and the United States. While China faces challenges in garnering favourable opinions and trust internationally, the United States maintains a stronger reputation for contributing to peace and stability. These findings underscore the importance of reputation, diplomacy, and soft power in shaping global perceptions and alliances.

Conclusion

In conclusion, China’s pursuit of an alternative world order presents both opportunities and challenges for the international community, including the United States. By critically examining China’s ambitions, successes, and setbacks, America can glean valuable insights for refining its own foreign policy and strategic priorities. As the global landscape continues to evolve, understanding China’s role and impact is essential for navigating the complexities of contemporary international relations.

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China

China’s Sinking Cities: The Looming Crisis of Subsidence and Rising Sea Levels

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Introduction

China’s coastal cities, home to over 400 million people, are facing a dual threat of subsidence and rising sea levels, according to a recent study. The study, published in the journal Science, found that a quarter of China’s coastal land will sink below sea level within a century, putting millions of lives and trillions of dollars in infrastructure at risk.

Subsidence and Sea Level Rise

Subsidence, or the sinking of the land, is a natural process that occurs when the ground settles or compacts over time. However, in China’s coastal cities, the process is being accelerated by human activities, such as the over-extraction of groundwater and the weight of buildings.

The study, conducted by researchers from the Chinese Academy of Sciences and the University of California, Berkeley, analyzed satellite data and found that the rate of subsidence in China’s coastal cities has increased by up to 50% in the past decade. The researchers also found that the subsidence is linked to changes in groundwater levels and the weight of buildings.

At the same time, sea levels are also rising due to climate change. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), sea levels have risen by about 3.3 millimetres per year over the past 25 years. In China’s coastal cities, the combination of subsidence and sea level rise is creating a crisis that is only expected to worsen in the coming decades.

Impact on Coastal Cities

The impact of subsidence and sea level rise on China’s coastal cities is already being felt. In Shanghai, the city’s iconic Bund waterfront has sunk by up to 2.6 meters over the past century, while in Tianjin, the city’s central business district has sunk by up to 2.5 meters.

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The subsidence is causing a range of problems, from increased flooding to damage to buildings and infrastructure. In some areas, the subsidence has caused roads and buildings to crack, while in other areas, it has led to the flooding of entire neighbourhoods.

The cost of addressing the subsidence and sea level rise crisis in China’s coastal cities is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars. The Chinese government has already spent billions of dollars on measures such as building sea walls and pumping sand onto eroding beaches. However, these measures are only a temporary solution and do not address the root causes of the subsidence.

Expert Opinions

Experts warn that the subsidence and sea level rise crisis in China’s coastal cities is a ticking time bomb. “The situation is very serious and requires urgent action,” said Dr. Xiaojun Yin, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Sciences and one of the authors of the study. “We need to reduce the extraction of groundwater and find ways to reduce the weight of buildings.”

Dr. Robert Nicholls, a professor of coastal engineering at the University of Southampton, agrees. “China’s coastal cities are facing a perfect storm of subsidence and sea level rise,” he said. “The Chinese government needs to take urgent action to address the root causes of the subsidence and invest in long-term solutions to protect its coastal cities.”

Conclusion

China’s coastal cities are facing a crisis of subsidence and sea level rise that is only expected to worsen in the coming decades. The crisis is being driven by human activities, such as the over-extraction of groundwater and the weight of buildings. The Chinese government needs to take urgent action to address the root causes of the subsidence and invest in long-term solutions to protect its coastal cities.

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The cost of addressing the crisis is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars, but the cost of inaction is likely to be much higher. Millions of lives and trillions of dollars in infrastructure are at risk. The Chinese government must act now to prevent a catastrophic flood from engulfing its coastal cities.

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