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The Dominoes Begin to Fall: Maine Follows Colorado in Barring Trump from the Ballot

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The political earthquake triggered by Colorado’s disqualification of Donald Trump from its 2024 primary ballot has reached another state, with Maine’s secretary of state issuing a similar ruling. This decision signifies a growing legal and political reckoning with the January 6th attack on the Capitol and its implications for Trump’s future eligibility for federal office.

Invoking the Fourteenth Amendment: Both Colorado and Maine’s rulings rest on Section 3 of the Fourteenth Amendment, which bars individuals from holding federal office if they have engaged in an insurrection or rebellion against the United States. In Colorado, the state Supreme Court found that Trump’s actions before, during, and after January 6th constituted such an offence. Maine’s secretary of state, Shenna Bellows, echoed this reasoning, concluding that Trump’s “conduct leading up to and on January 6th, 2021, constitutes an engagement in insurrection or rebellion against the United States.”

The Ripple Effect: These rulings are unprecedented. Never before has a major presidential candidate been deemed ineligible for office based on such accusations. The legal ramifications are still unclear, with appeals in both cases likely heading to the Supreme Court. However, the immediate political impact is undeniable. This decision throws doubt on Trump’s 2024 candidacy, potentially fracturing the Republican Party and reshaping the primary landscape.

Trump’s Defense and the Republican Divide: In response, Trump has called the rulings “unconstitutional” and “a vicious attack on democracy.” His legal team argues that Section 3 applies only to those convicted of insurrection, not those merely accused. Republicans are also divided on the issue. Some, like the Colorado and Maine GOP chapters, are appealing the rulings. Others, however, see this as an opportunity to distance the party from Trump and move on from the January 6th shadow.

The Legal and Political Tightrope: For the courts, navigating this legal tightrope will be a delicate manoeuvre. Balancing the Fourteenth Amendment’s disqualification clause with free speech and due process rights will be a complex task. Politically, the ramifications are just as intricate. While some voters may applaud the disqualification, others may see it as an undemocratic power grab. Moreover, this decision could energize both Trump’s base and his detractors, potentially leading to a more polarized 2024 election.

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The Uncertain Future: The long-term consequences of these rulings are impossible to predict. They may set a precedent for disqualifying other candidates based on their actions related to January 6th. They may also spark a broader conversation about accountability for those who undermine American democracy. Regardless of the outcome, one thing is clear: the dominoes have begun to fall.

Beyond the Headlines: It’s important to note that these rulings go beyond Trump himself. They raise fundamental questions about the future of American democracy and the role of accountability in upholding its core principles. Can those who actively seek to undermine democratic institutions still hold the highest office in the land? How can we balance the need for a robust democracy with the individual rights of those accused of wrongdoing? These are questions that will continue to resonate long after the legal battles over the ballot are settled.

A Crossroads for America: While the immediate focus is on Trump and the 2024 election, the implications of these rulings extend far beyond. They represent a critical juncture in American history, forcing us to confront the consequences of January 6th and grapple with the challenges facing our democracy. Will we choose to uphold the principles of accountability and the rule of law? Or will we allow those who seek to undermine them to rise again? The answer will shape not only the outcome of the next election but also the future of our nation.

In conclusion, the disqualification of Donald Trump from the primary ballot in both Colorado and Maine represents a significant turning point in American politics. It marks a legal and political reckoning with the January 6th attack on the Capitol and raises critical questions about accountability, democracy, and the future of our nation. While the legal battles continue and the long-term ramifications remain uncertain, one thing is clear: the dominoes have begun to fall, and the consequences will be felt for years to come.

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FAQs

Q: Why was Trump barred from the ballot in Maine and Colorado?

A: Both states based their decisions on Section 3 of the Fourteenth Amendment, which bars individuals from federal office if they engaged in an insurrection or rebellion against the U.S. Both Colorado’s Supreme Court and Maine’s Secretary of State concluded that Trump’s actions surrounding January 6th constituted such an offense.

Q: Is this legal?

A: The legal landscape is complex. Trump’s team argues Section 3 only applies to those convicted of insurrection, not merely accused. Colorado and Maine disagree, interpreting the clause more broadly. Ultimately, the Supreme Court may need to resolve the legal gray area.

Q: Does this mean Trump can’t run in 2024 at all?

A: It’s not that simple. These rulings only apply to their respective state primaries. Trump could still run as an independent or through write-in campaigns. However, these rulings undoubtedly cast a significant shadow over his candidacy.

Q: How will this impact the Republican Party?

A: The GOP is now split. Some support appealing the rulings and standing with Trump. Others see this as an opportunity to break from him and move on. This internal discord could significantly impact the 2024 primary landscape.

Q: Does this set a precedent for future disqualifications?

A: It’s possible. These rulings could open the door for disqualifying other candidates based on their January 6th actions. Whether it becomes a precedent will depend on future legal challenges and court rulings.

Q: Will this decision energize voters for or against Trump?

A: Likely both. Trump’s base may be galvanized by what they see as an unfair attack. Conversely, his detractors may feel emboldened and more motivated to vote against him. This could lead to a more polarized 2024 election.

Q: What are the broader implications for American democracy?

A: These rulings raise crucial questions about accountability, free speech, and the rule of law. They force us to confront the challenges facing our democracy in the wake of January 6th. Can we balance upholding democratic principles with individual rights? Will those who threaten democratic institutions be held accountable? The answers will shape the future of our nation.


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Analysis

Global Right-Wing Leaders Rally Behind Viktor Orbán as Hungary’s Pivotal 2026 Election Looms

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The spectacle was unmistakable: a carefully choreographed campaign video featuring a who’s who of international right-wing politics, each leader speaking directly to Hungarian voters with a singular message—reelect Viktor Orbán. Italy’s Giorgia Meloni, France’s Marine Le Pen, Argentina’s Javier Milei, Israel’s Benjamin Netanyahu, and Germany’s Alice Weidel appeared alongside a roster of populist figures spanning continents, delivering what amounts to the most coordinated international endorsement campaign for a sitting European leader in recent memory. The video, released as Hungary’s April 12, 2026, parliamentary election enters its decisive phase, arrives at a moment of acute vulnerability for Orbán—trailing in polls, buffeted by economic stagnation, and facing the most serious electoral challenge of his fourteen-year tenure.

This unprecedented mobilization of global populist heavyweights reveals more than campaign theatrics. It exposes the architecture of an international movement that has quietly matured from ideological affinity into operational alliance, with Orbán positioned as its elder statesman and symbolic anchor. Yet paradoxically, this display of external support underscores a deeper anxiety: that the Hungarian strongman who once seemed politically invincible now requires rescue from abroad.

The Video: A Roll Call of Populist Power

The endorsement video reads like a directory of contemporary right-wing ascendancy. Giorgia Meloni, Italy’s prime minister and leader of the post-fascist Brothers of Italy party, praised Orbán’s “courage” in defending national sovereignty. Marine Le Pen, whose National Rally has become France’s dominant opposition force, lauded his resistance to Brussels’ overreach. Javier Milei, Argentina’s anarcho-capitalist president whose chainsaw-wielding campaign style captivated global libertarians, hailed Orbán as a kindred spirit in the fight against “progressive elites.”

Benjamin Netanyahu’s participation carries particular weight, given Israel’s traditionally cautious approach to European domestic politics. His endorsement signals both personal friendship with Orbán and calculated alignment with European leaders willing to buck the pro-Palestinian sentiments gaining traction in progressive circles. Alice Weidel, co-leader of Germany’s surging Alternative für Deutschland (AfD), which recently polled second nationally, brings the endorsement full circle to the heart of the European Union.

Matteo Salvini, Italy’s deputy prime minister and Meloni’s coalition partner, Andrej Babiš of the Czech Republic’s ANO movement, Herbert Kickl of Austria’s Freedom Party, and Janez Janša, Slovenia’s former prime minister, rounded out the European contingent. Even Switzerland’s Christoph Blocher and Brazil’s Eduardo Bolsonaro joined the chorus, transforming what might have been a regional political gesture into a statement of global right-wing solidarity.

Orbán’s Domestic Quagmire: The Rise of Péter Magyar

The irony is sharp: as international allies queue to endorse him, Orbán faces unprecedented domestic erosion. Recent polling shows his Fidesz party trailing the upstart Tisza Party, led by Péter Magyar, a former government insider turned crusader against systemic corruption. Magyar’s emergence represents something Orbán’s fragmented opposition coalition never achieved: a credible, charismatic alternative who speaks the language of patriotic conservatism while denouncing the kleptocratic apparatus Fidesz has constructed.

Magyar, once married to former Justice Minister Judit Varga, possesses the insider credibility to make accusations stick. His allegations—that Orbán’s circle operates a sophisticated patronage network siphoning EU funds, that judicial independence has been systematically dismantled, that media pluralism exists only in name—resonate because they come from someone who witnessed the machinery firsthand. Tisza’s polling surge to 30-35% represents the most serious electoral threat Orbán has faced since consolidating power in 2010.

Economic headwinds compound Orbán’s troubles. Hungary’s inflation rate, though moderating from its 2022-23 peaks, remains among the EU’s highest. The forint’s persistent weakness against the euro erodes purchasing power for ordinary Hungarians, belying Orbán’s promises of prosperity. Brussels’ decision to freeze billions in EU funds over rule-of-law concerns has starved public services and infrastructure projects, making the government’s corruption vulnerabilities tangible in citizens’ daily lives.

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The Populist International: Ideology Meets Infrastructure

The endorsement video is not merely symbolic—it reflects an increasingly institutionalized network. Orbán has methodically constructed what amounts to a populist international through formal and informal channels. The annual Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) meetings in Budapest have become pilgrimage sites for American and European right-wing figures. The Mathias Corvinus Collegium, Orbán’s lavishly funded conservative think tank and university, trains cadres across Europe in populist political methodology.

This network operates on shared ideological pillars: skepticism of supranational governance, hostility to liberal immigration policies, defense of “traditional” social values against progressive “gender ideology,” and a revisionist historiography that emphasizes national grievance over continental cooperation. Yet beneath ideological coherence lies pragmatic calculation. Orbán’s Hungary offers a laboratory for democratic backsliding wrapped in electoral legitimacy—a model that tantalizes leaders who seek expanded executive power while maintaining democratic façades.

The financial dimensions merit scrutiny. Orbán’s government has channeled contracts and favorable policies toward ideologically aligned businesses, creating an ecosystem where economic interest and political loyalty intertwine. This template attracts international allies not merely for its ideas but for its demonstration that populist governance can be materially rewarding for loyalists—a lesson not lost on leaders navigating their own patronage networks.

Geopolitical Stakes: Ukraine, Brussels, and the Future of European Cohesion

Hungary’s election transcends domestic politics, carrying implications that reverberate through European and transatlantic relations. Orbán has positioned himself as the EU’s primary internal disruptor on Ukraine policy, repeatedly blocking or delaying aid packages and sanctions against Russia. His maintained relationship with Vladimir Putin, including continued energy imports and diplomatic engagement, makes him Moscow’s most valuable asset within the European Union’s institutional architecture.

A Magyar-led government would likely normalize Hungary’s stance toward Kyiv and Brussels, removing a persistent irritant in EU decision-making. Yet Orbán’s retention would signal something more consequential: that populist disruption, even when economically costly and diplomatically isolating, remains electorally viable within the EU framework. This would embolden similar forces across the continent, from the AfD’s ambitions in Germany to Vox’s influence in Spain.

The rule-of-law dispute encapsulates deeper tensions about European integration’s trajectory. The European Commission’s activation of conditionality mechanisms to freeze Hungarian funds represents an unprecedented assertion of supranational authority over member state governance. Orbán frames this as vindication of his Brussels-as-imperial-overlord narrative; Magyar presents it as the natural consequence of systemic corruption. The election becomes a referendum on whether European voters prioritize sovereignty narratives or institutional accountability.

The Broader Meaning: Populism’s Resilience Test

The 2024-25 period witnessed populism’s mixed fortunes globally. Donald Trump’s return to the U.S. presidency energized right-wing movements worldwide, providing psychological momentum and validating anti-establishment messaging. Yet populist forces also faced setbacks: the AfD’s electoral ceiling in German regional elections despite polling gains, National Rally’s failure to convert parliamentary strength into governmental power in France, and Brexit’s lingering economic hangovers tempering enthusiasm for EU exits elsewhere.

Orbán’s election represents a critical test case. He pioneered the populist playbook in the EU context—using democratic mechanisms to concentrate power, controlling media landscapes while maintaining nominal pluralism, rhetorically defying Brussels while materially benefiting from EU membership. His potential defeat would suggest this model’s limits: that economic underperformance and corruption exposure eventually erode populist support regardless of cultural warfare’s intensity.

Conversely, his survival would demonstrate populism’s resilience even under adverse conditions. If Orbán can weather economic stagnation, credible corruption allegations, and a charismatic challenger while trailing in polls, it suggests that identity-based political mobilization and nationalist messaging possess deeper roots than critics acknowledge. The international endorsements, rather than appearing as foreign interference, might resonate with voters receptive to framing the election as civilizational struggle between globalist elites and national sovereignty defenders.

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Campaign Dynamics: Domestic versus International Frames

Magyar’s campaign strategically reframes the contest away from Orbán’s preferred culture-war terrain. Rather than engaging grand debates about European identity or migration, Tisza emphasizes bread-and-butter concerns: healthcare system dysfunction, education funding, infrastructure decay, and the tangible costs of diplomatic isolation. Magyar’s messaging resonates particularly with younger voters and urban professionals who experience Orbán’s Hungary as opportunity constraint rather than cultural preservation.

The international endorsements risk reinforcing Magyar’s narrative that Orbán prioritizes global populist celebrity over Hungarian citizens’ welfare. Yet they also provide Fidesz with powerful visual content demonstrating that Hungary “matters” on the world stage—an appeal to national pride that has traditionally resonated with Orbán’s rural and older base. The competing frames—cosmopolitan disruption versus patriotic perseverance—will largely determine whether the endorsements help or hinder.

Fidesz retains formidable structural advantages despite polling deficits. The electoral system’s design favors larger parties through winner-take-all constituencies. State media saturation ensures Orbán’s message dominates in regions with limited independent journalism access. Campaign finance disparities are staggering, with Fidesz outspending all opposition forces combined by orders of magnitude, much of it from sources connected to government-friendly businesses.

Forward Outlook: What Orbán’s Fate Signals

The April 12 election’s outcome carries diagnostic value for populism’s trajectory in established democracies. An Orbán victory, particularly from a polling deficit, would suggest that incumbency advantages, message discipline, and structural control can overcome economic underperformance and corruption exposure. It would embolden international allies in the video to believe similar resilience awaits them during future challenges.

A Magyar victory would represent populism’s perhaps most significant electoral reversal in a major European state since Brexit. It would demonstrate that insider-turned-reformer candidates who credibly promise to dismantle corrupt systems while maintaining conservative cultural stances can fracture populist coalitions. The implications would extend beyond Hungary: opposition forces from Poland to Italy would study the Tisza playbook for replicability.

The geopolitical ramifications extend to Washington, Moscow, and Brussels. A Tisza government would likely reorient Hungary toward mainstream EU positions on Ukraine, potentially breaking the current pattern of unanimous-vote obstruction. It would remove a key Putin ally from within Western institutional architecture, though Hungary’s continued dependence on Russian energy ensures complete realignment remains distant. For the European Commission, it would vindicate the rule-of-law conditionality mechanism as an effective lever for promoting democratic standards.

Yet declaring outcomes prematurely risks analytical error. Fidesz has repeatedly defied polls and predictions, engineering victories through superior organization, strategic messaging adjustments, and effective base mobilization. The international endorsement video itself represents sophisticated campaign tactics—generating global media coverage, reinforcing supporter commitment, and framing the election in maximalist terms that could drive turnout.

Conclusion: A Referendum on Populist Governance

The parade of international leaders endorsing Viktor Orbán illuminates populism’s evolution from insurgent force to networked governance model. What began as disparate national reactions to globalization and cultural change has matured into a transnational movement with shared strategies, mutual support networks, and coordinated messaging. Orbán’s centrality to this ecosystem—as pioneer, mentor, and symbolic anchor—makes his electoral fate consequential far beyond Hungary’s borders.

Yet this very international prominence highlights populism’s central paradox. Movements that derive legitimacy from defending national sovereignty and opposing globalist elites now depend on cross-border coordination and external validation. The endorsement video intended to project strength instead reveals anxiety—the recognition that domestic achievements alone may not suffice, that external reinforcement becomes necessary when local support erodes.

Hungary’s April 12 election will not definitively settle populism’s future, but it provides a crucial data point. Whether voters prioritize cultural preservation narratives over economic performance and institutional accountability will signal how durable populist governance models prove when confronted with their own contradictions. The world’s right-wing leaders have placed their bets on Orbán; Hungarian voters will render the verdict on whether that gamble pays dividends or accelerates decline.


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Analysis

2025 Elections Shockwaves: How Global Leadership Is Shifting Overnight

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Introduction

The 2025 elections reshaped global leadership overnight, sparking political power shifts, economic uncertainty, and new geopolitical trends.

The 2025 elections have unleashed a wave of uncertainty and transformation across continents. From Washington to Warsaw, Delhi to Dakar, voters have spoken — and the verdict is shaking the foundations of global leadership. Overnight, the balance of power has shifted, alliances are being tested, and economies are bracing for impact.

This isn’t just another election cycle. It’s a political power shift of historic proportions, one that raises urgent questions about the resilience of democracy, the trajectory of international relations, and the economic impact of elections on everyday lives.

🌍 Global Election Highlights

United States: Democracy in Crisis

The US 2025 elections were the most polarizing in modern history. Record voter turnout reflected both hope and anxiety. Yet the results underscored a democracy in crisis, with deep divisions across race, class, and ideology. The new administration faces a daunting task: restoring trust in institutions while navigating a fractured Congress.

For global observers, the U.S. remains a bellwether. Its leadership choices reverberate through NATO, trade agreements, and climate commitments. The question is whether Washington can still project stability in a world increasingly skeptical of American consistency.

Europe: Populism vs Integration

Across Europe, elections revealed a tug‑of‑war between populist nationalism and pro‑integration forces. In France, populist candidates surged, while Germany’s coalition government struggled to maintain unity. The European Union now faces existential questions: will it strengthen its collective identity or splinter under nationalist pressures?

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The implications for world leaders 2025 are profound. A weakened EU could embolden Russia, destabilize NATO, and undermine global efforts on climate and trade.

Asia: Rising Powers, Shifting Alliances

India’s elections highlighted the tension between rapid economic growth and democratic resilience. With a youthful electorate demanding jobs and transparency, the government faces pressure to deliver reforms while balancing regional security challenges.

Meanwhile, Japan and South Korea recalibrated their foreign policies, signaling new geopolitical trends in the Indo‑Pacific. China, watching closely, continues to expand its influence through trade and technology, intensifying the US‑China rivalry that defines this era.

Africa: Continental Awakening

Africa’s elections in Nigeria, South Africa, and Kenya underscored the continent’s growing importance. Citizens demanded accountability, economic opportunity, and stronger institutions. The African Union now faces the challenge of balancing sovereignty with collective strength, particularly in trade and security.

For global leadership, Africa is no longer a passive player. Its demographic boom and resource wealth make it central to the future of international relations.

🔎 Leadership Changes & Geopolitical Consequences

The political power shift of 2025 is not just about who won or lost. It’s about how leadership transitions ripple across borders:

  • US‑China rivalry intensifies, with both nations vying for technological, military, and ideological dominance.
  • Europe’s fragile unity raises questions about NATO’s future role and the continent’s ability to act collectively.
  • Middle East elections recalibrate oil diplomacy, impacting energy markets and reshaping alliances.
  • Latin America sees a surge in reformist leaders promising economic revival but facing institutional hurdles.

These shifts redefine international relations, forcing nations to reconsider alliances, trade strategies, and security commitments. The overnight reshaping of global leadership is both exhilarating and alarming.

💰 Economic & Social Ripple Effects

Markets in Flux

The economic impact of elections is already visible. Stock markets reacted with volatility, reflecting investor uncertainty. Wall Street, Frankfurt, and Tokyo all saw sharp swings as traders recalibrated expectations.

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Cryptocurrency & Alternative Economies

In regions where trust in government is low, cryptocurrency adoption surged. Citizens sought alternatives to unstable currencies, signaling a broader shift toward decentralized finance.

Trade & Supply Chains

Global trade faces recalibration. Tariffs, sanctions, and new trade blocs are reshaping supply chains. Nations are rethinking dependencies, particularly on energy and technology.

Social Movements

Beyond economics, social movements gained momentum. Climate activists, digital rights advocates, and youth organizations are demanding accountability from newly elected governments. Their influence is reshaping policy agendas, proving that elections are not just about ballots but about voices amplified through protest and digital platforms.

📰 Expert Commentary

As a columnist observing these tectonic shifts, one cannot ignore the irony: while voters seek stability, their choices often unleash unpredictability. The 2025 elections remind us that democracy, though imperfect, remains the most powerful instrument of change.

Yet, the pace of transformation raises urgent questions. Can institutions withstand the pressure of rapid political turnover? Can economies adapt to sudden shifts in policy direction? And can global alliances survive the strain of competing national interests?

The overnight reshaping of global leadership is a reminder that in today’s interconnected world, no election is local anymore. Every ballot cast in one nation reverberates across borders, influencing trade, security, and even cultural narratives.

Conclusion

The 2025 elections shockwaves are far from settling. What we are witnessing is not just a change of faces but a redefinition of power itself. From Washington to Beijing, Brussels to Brasília, the future of governance, economics, and diplomacy hangs in the balance.

The world must now ask: are we prepared for the consequences of this political power shift, or are we simply reacting to them? The answer will define the next decade of international relations and the trajectory of global stability.


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Economy

The Economic Consequences of Elections: A Perspective from Nedbank

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Introduction

Elections are an integral part of any democratic society, providing citizens with the opportunity to choose their leaders and hold them accountable for their actions. However, the focus on elections can often divert attention from other pressing issues, such as fixing the economy.

In a recent statement, the Nedbank chief, Mike Brown, expressed concern that the upcoming elections could take the focus off fixing the economy, which is a cause for concern for many South Africans. In this article, we will delve deeper into the economic consequences of elections and the implications for South Africa.

The Economic Consequences of Elections
Elections can have significant economic consequences, both in the short and long term. In the short term, elections can lead to increased uncertainty, as investors and businesses may hold back on making decisions until the outcome is clear. This uncertainty can lead to a decrease in investment, which can negatively impact economic growth.

In the long term, elections can lead to policy changes that can have significant economic consequences. For example, if a new government comes into power with a different economic policy, this can lead to changes in regulations, taxes, and other economic factors that can impact businesses and investors. This can lead to a decrease in confidence in the economy, which can further impact investment and economic growth.

Nedbank’s Perspective
Nedbank, one of South Africa’s largest banks, has expressed concern that the upcoming elections could take the focus off fixing the economy. Mike Brown, the Nedbank chief, has stated that “the focus on the election could distract from the need to address the structural issues that are holding back the economy.” This is a concern shared by many South Africans, who are worried about the country’s economic future.

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Structural Issues in the South African Economy
South Africa’s economy has been struggling for some time, with high levels of unemployment, low economic growth, and a large budget deficit. These structural issues are complex and require significant attention and effort to address. However, the focus on elections can divert attention from these issues, making it difficult to make progress in fixing the economy.

Conclusion
Elections are an important part of any democratic society, but they can also have significant economic consequences. The focus on elections can divert attention from other pressing issues, such as fixing the economy. As the Nedbank chief has pointed out, this can seriously affect South Africa’s economic future. Attention must be given to these structural issues, regardless of the outcome of the elections. Only then can South Africa hope to achieve sustainable economic growth and development.


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