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Analysis

The Weakness of the Strongmen: What Really Threatens Authoritarians in the Age of Autocratization and Project 2025 Dangers?

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Imagine a leader who projects unshakeable power—parades of loyalists, sweeping crackdowns on dissent, and a grip on every lever of state control. Yet, beneath the surface, cracks appear. A sudden wave of protests erupts, or an economic slowdown exposes hidden vulnerabilities. We’ve seen this story unfold time and again, from the streets of hybrid regimes to the halls of entrenched autocracies. In 2025, as the world grapples with deepening autocratization trends and warnings about the authoritarian playbook 2025—including Project 2025 dangers in the United States—what truly threatens these seemingly invincible strongmen?

The rise of strongmen leaders has dominated headlines for years, fueled by populist strongmen failures that somehow persist. But the V-Dem Democracy Report 2025 paints a stark picture: For the first time in over two decades, autocracies outnumber democracies (91 to 88), with 72% of the world’s population—about 5.7 billion people—living under authoritarian rule. This third wave of autocratization shows no signs of abating, affecting 45 countries while only 19 democratize. Freedom House’s Freedom in the World 2025 report echoes this, noting global freedom declines for the 19th straight year, impacting over 40% of the global population.

“The real threat to authoritarians? Us. Ordinary people demanding accountability, fairness, freedom.”

Yet, authoritarian resilience myths are crumbling. Surveillance state cracks, economic threats to autocracies, and global authoritarianism weaknesses reveal that these regimes are far more fragile than they appear. Hybrid regimes vulnerabilities—blending elections with repression—often mask internal frailties. Even as Trump authoritarianism raises alarms in the West, tied to concerns over Project 2025 dangers, the core question remains: What internal threats undermine authoritarians most?

The Myth of Authoritarian Strength

We’ve all heard the narrative: Authoritarians are efficient, decisive, unburdened by democratic gridlock. Strongmen promise stability in chaotic times. But is this authoritarian resilience a myth?

Data suggests yes. The V-Dem 2025 report reveals the average global citizen’s democracy level has regressed to 1985 standards, with autocratization deepening in already autocratic states and weakening norms in established democracies. Surveillance states, once touted as ironclad, show cracks under pressure.

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Consider China. Despite vast digital monitoring, economic slowdowns expose vulnerabilities. IMF forecasts peg China’s 2025 growth at around 4.6-4.8%, down from pre-pandemic highs, amid a lingering property debt crisis and deflationary pressures. Local governments strain under trillions in hidden debt, diverting resources from public needs.

Russia tells a similar tale. Wartime spending propelled growth, but the IMF now projects just 0.9-1.5% expansion in 2025, a sharp slowdown from 4.1% prior years. Sanctions, falling oil prices, and labor shortages erode the facade.

These aren’t anomalies. Authoritarian regimes often overstate efficiency, but corruption and misallocation undermine long-term stability. As the Journal of Democracy has noted, strongmen thrive in weak states short-term but falter when economic pressures mount.

Economic Vulnerabilities

If there’s one Achilles’ heel for authoritarians, it’s the economy. Economic threats to autocracies stem from inequality, sanctions, and corruption—fueled growth disparities.

Freedom House and World Bank data highlight how authoritarian states lag: Corruption erodes 2-3% potential GDP growth annually through inefficiencies. In 2025, Russia’s contraction risks deepen post-Ukraine invasion, with IMF warnings of unsustainable trajectories.

China’s debt crisis illustrates this vividly. Property sector woes—once 25% of GDP—trigger developer defaults and stalled projects, exacerbating youth unemployment and consumer caution. Despite stimulus, deflation persists, with CPI near zero.

“No regime is invincible. The weakness of strongmen lies in their foundations: economies falter, elites fracture, publics resist.”

Turkey under Erdogan and Hungary under Orbán show similar patterns: Populist spending buys loyalty short-term but breeds inflation and isolation. Global sanctions amplify this—Russia’s oil revenues plummeted amid lower prices and export rerouting.

Why do economies threaten strongmen so profoundly? Regimes rely on performance legitimacy—delivering growth for obedience. When that fails, public trust erodes. Pew Research shows declining confidence in autocracies as inequality widens.

Governance and Security Flaws

Strongmen project control through security apparatuses, but governance flaws often prove fatal. Elite infighting, corruption, and unrest exploit these hybrid regimes vulnerabilities.

Amnesty International reports highlight 2025 protests in authoritarian nations: Gen-Z movements in Asia and Africa challenge repression, facing unlawful force yet persisting. In Thailand and Bangladesh, overreach sparked mass resistance.

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Internal threats abound. Russia’s elite purges signal paranoia; China’s anti-corruption drives mask factional struggles. V-Dem notes censorship as autocratizers’ first tool, but it can’t silence growing discontent.

Security spending inefficiencies compound this. SIPRI data shows global military expenditure hit $2.7 trillion in 2024, with authoritarians prioritizing arms over welfare—diverting funds amid economic strain.

Rhetorical question: How long can fear sustain a regime when basic needs go unmet?

Foreign Policy Risks

Authoritarians often rally support through external enemies, but isolation backfires. Global alliances fray as aggression invites sanctions and diplomatic fallout.

Russia’s Ukraine war exemplifies this: Intended as a quick victory, it triggered unprecedented sanctions, economic contraction, and pariah status. Alliances with China and others provide lifelines, but inefficiencies persist—SIPRI notes bloated military budgets yield diminishing returns.

China faces trade wars and tech restrictions, slowing growth. Turkey’s NATO strains and Hungary’s EU tensions isolate them further.

Foreign policy overreach weakens strongmen by exposing military limits and economic dependencies.

The Democratic Counterplay

Amid democracy decline 2025, hope emerges from opposition resilience. What empowers counterplay?

Civil society mobilization, international pressure, and institutional safeguards. V-Dem highlights “U-turns”—46% of autocratization episodes reverse through protests and reforms.

In 2025, U.S. trends tie into authoritarian playbook warnings, with Project 2025 dangers spotlighting executive overreach risks. Yet, civic engagement and judicial independence offer bulwarks.

Globally, elections in Poland and elsewhere reversed slides. Human agency—protests, voting, activism—counters autocratization.

Conclusion: Humanity’s Agency in an Era of Fragility

As 2025 unfolds, autocratization trends deepen, with V-Dem and Freedom House chronicling record declines. Project 2025 dangers and Trump authoritarianism remind us threats aren’t distant—they’re global.

Yet, the weakness of strongmen lies in their foundations: Economies falter, elites fracture, publics resist. Populist strongmen failures and surveillance state cracks reveal no regime is invincible.

The real threat to authoritarians? Us. Ordinary people demanding accountability, fairness, freedom. In protests, ballots, daily acts of courage, we reclaim space.

Democracy isn’t perfect, but it’s resilient. In this age of global authoritarianism weaknesses, let’s choose hope—and action. The strongmen’s era may seem ascendant, but history shows fragility wins out when humanity unites.

What will you do to counter autocratization today? The future depends on it.


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Analysis

The Kashmir Conflict and the Reality of Crimes Against Humanity

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Crimes against humanity represent one of the most serious affronts to human dignity and collective conscience. They embody patterns of widespread or systematic violence directed against civilian populations — including murder, enforced disappearances, torture, persecution, sexual violence, deportation, and other inhumane acts that shock the moral order of humanity. The United Nations Conference of Plenipotentiaries on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime against Humanity presents a historic opportunity to strengthen global resolve, reinforce legal frameworks, and advance cooperation among states to ensure accountability, justice, and meaningful prevention.

While the international legal architecture has evolved significantly since the aftermath of the Second World War, important normative and institutional gaps remain. The Genocide Convention of 1948 and the Geneva Conventions established foundational legal protections, and the creation of the International Criminal Court reinforced accountability mechanisms. Yet, unlike genocide and war crimes, there is still no stand-alone comprehensive convention dedicated exclusively to crimes against humanity. This structural omission has limited the capacity of states to adopt consistent domestic legislation, harmonize cooperation frameworks, and pursue perpetrators who move across borders. The Conference of Plenipotentiaries seeks to fill this critical void.

The Imperative of Prevention

Prevention must stand at the core of the international community’s approach. Too often, the world reacts to atrocities only after irreparable harm has been inflicted and communities have been devastated. A meaningful prevention framework requires early warning mechanisms, stronger monitoring capacities, transparent reporting, and a willingness by states and institutions to act before crises escalate. Education in human rights, inclusive governance, rule of law strengthening, and responsible security practices are equally essential elements of prevention.

Civil society organizations, academic institutions, moral leaders, and human rights defenders play a vital role in documenting abuses, amplifying the voices of victims, and urging action when warning signs emerge. Their protection and meaningful participation must therefore be an integral component of any preventive strategy. Without civic space, truth is silenced — and without truth, accountability becomes impossible.

Accountability and the Rule of Law

Accountability is not an act of punishment alone; it is an affirmation of universal human values. When perpetrators enjoy impunity, cycles of violence deepen, victims are re-traumatized, and the integrity of international law erodes. Strengthening judicial cooperation — including extradition, mutual legal assistance, and evidence-sharing — is essential to closing enforcement gaps. Equally important is the responsibility of states to incorporate crimes against humanity into domestic criminal law, ensuring that such crimes can be prosecuted fairly and independently at the national level.

Justice must also be survivor centered. Victims and affected communities deserve recognition, reparations, psychological support, and the assurance that their suffering has not been ignored. Truth-seeking mechanisms and memorialization efforts help restore dignity and foster long-term reconciliation.

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The Role of Multilateralism

The Conference reinforces the indispensable role of multilateralism in confronting global challenges. Atrocities rarely occur in isolation; they are rooted in political exclusion, discrimination, securitization of societies, and structural inequalities. No state, however powerful, can confront these dynamics alone. Shared norms, coordinated diplomatic engagement, and principled international cooperation are vital to preventing abuses and responding when they occur.

Multilateral commitments must also be matched with political will. Declarations are meaningful only when accompanied by implementation, transparency, and accountability to both domestic and international publics.

Technology, Media, and Modern Challenges

Contemporary conflicts and crises unfold in an increasingly digital and interconnected world. Technology can illuminate truth — enabling documentation, verification, and preservation of evidence — but it can also be weaponized to spread hate, dehumanization, and incitement. Strengthening responsible digital governance, countering disinformation, and supporting credible documentation initiatives are essential tools for both prevention and accountability. Journalists, researchers, and human rights monitors must be protected from reprisals for their work.

Climate-related stress, demographic shifts, and political polarization further complicate the landscape in which vulnerabilities emerge. The Conference should therefore promote a holistic understanding of risk factors that may precipitate widespread or systematic violence.

A Universal Commitment — With Local Realities

While the principles guiding this Convention are universal, their application must be sensitive to local histories, languages, cultures, and institutional realities. Effective implementation depends on national ownership, capacity-building, judicial training, and inclusive policymaking that engages women, youth, minorities, and marginalized communities. The pursuit of justice must never be perceived as externally imposed, but rather as an expression of shared human values anchored within domestic legal systems.

The Kashmir Conflict and the Reality of Crimes Against Humanity

Crimes against humanity do not emerge overnight. They develop through sustained patterns of abuse, erosion of legal safeguards, and the normalization of repression. Jammu and Kashmir presents a contemporary case study of these dynamics.

Under international law, crimes against humanity encompass widespread or systematic attacks directed against a civilian population, including imprisonment, torture, persecution, enforced disappearance, and other inhumane acts. Evidence emerging from Kashmir—documented by UN experts, international NGOs, journalists, and scholars—demonstrates patterns that meet these legal criteria.

The invocation of “national security” has become the central mechanism through which extraordinary powers are exercised without effective judicial oversight. Draconian laws are routinely used to silence dissent, detain human rights defenders, restrict movement, and suppress independent media. This securitized governance has produced what many Kashmiris describe as the “peace of the graveyard”—an imposed silence rather than genuine peace.

Early-warning frameworks for mass atrocities are particularly instructive. Gregory Stanton identifies Kashmir as exhibiting multiple risk indicators, including classification and discrimination, denial of civil rights, militarization, and impunity. These indicators, if left unaddressed, historically precede mass atrocity crimes.

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The systematic silencing of journalists, as warned by the Committee to Protect Journalists, and the targeting of academics and diaspora voices—such as the denial of entry to Dr. Nitasha Kaul and the cancellation of travel documents of elderly activists like Amrit Wilson—demonstrate repression extending beyond borders.

The joint statement by ten UN Special Rapporteurs (2025) regarding one of internationally known human rights defender – Khurram Parvez – underscores that these are not isolated incidents but part of a broader pattern involving arbitrary detention, torture, discriminatory treatment, and custodial deaths. Together, these acts form a systematic attack on a civilian population, triggering the international community’s responsibility to act.

This Conference offers a critical opportunity to reaffirm that sovereignty cannot be a shield for crimes against humanity. Kashmir illustrates the urgent need for:

  • Preventive diplomacy grounded in early warning mechanisms.
  • Independent investigations and universal jurisdiction where applicable.
  • Stronger protections for journalists, scholars, and human rights defenders, including Irfan Mehraj, Abdul Aaala Fazili, Hilal Mir, Asif Sultan and others.
  • Victim-centered justice and accountability frameworks for Mohammad Yasin Malik, Shabir Ahmed Shah, Masarat Aalam, Aasia Andrabi, Fehmeeda Sofi, Nahida Nasreen and others.
  •  

Recognizing Kashmir within the crimes-against-humanity discourse is not political—it is legal, moral, and preventive. Failure to act risks entrenching impunity and undermining the very purpose of international criminal law.

Conclusion

The United Nations Conference of Plenipotentiaries carries profound moral, legal, and historical significance. It represents not only a technical exercise in treaty development but a reaffirmation of humanity’s collective promise — that no people, anywhere, should face systematic cruelty without recourse to justice and protection. By advancing a comprehensive Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime against Humanity, the international community strengthens its resolve to stand with victims, confront impunity, and uphold the sanctity of human dignity.

The success of this effort will ultimately depend on our willingness to transform commitments into action, principles into practice, and aspiration into enduring protection for present and future generations.

Dr. Fai submitted this paper to the Organizers of the Preparatory Committee for the United Nations Conference of Plenipotentiaries on Prevention and Punishment of Crimes against Humanity on behalf of PCSWHR which is headed by Dr. Ijaz Noori, an internationally known interfaith expert. The conference took place at the UN headquarters between January 19 – 30, 2026.


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Analysis

What Is Nipah Virus? Symptoms, Risks, and Transmission Explained as India Faces New Outbreak Alert

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KOLKATA, West Bengal—In the intensive care unit of a Kolkata hospital, shielded behind layers of protective glass, a team of healthcare workers moves with a calibrated urgency. Their patient, a man in his forties, is battling an adversary they cannot see and for which they have no specific cure. He is one of at least five confirmed cases in a new Nipah virus outbreak in West Bengal, a stark reminder that the shadow of zoonotic pandemics is long, persistent, and profoundly personal. Among the cases are two frontline workers, a testament to the virus’s stealthy human-to-human transmission. Nearly 100 contacts now wait in monitored quarantine, their lives paused as public health officials race to contain a pathogen with a terrifying fatality rate of 40 to 75 percent.

This scene in India is not from a dystopian novel; it is the latest chapter in a two-decade struggle against a virus that emerges from forests, carried by fruit bats, to sporadically ignite human suffering. As of January 27, 2026, containment efforts are underway, but the alert status remains high. There is no Nipah virus vaccine, no licensed antiviral. Survival hinges on supportive care, epidemiological grit, and the hard-learned lessons from past outbreaks in Kerala and Bangladesh.

For a global audience weary of pandemic headlines, the name “Nipah” may elicit a flicker of recognition. But what is Nipah virus, and why does its appearance cause such profound concern among virologists and public health agencies worldwide? Beyond the immediate crisis in West Bengal, this outbreak illuminates the fragile interplay between a changing environment, animal reservoirs, and human health—a dynamic fueling the age of emerging infectious diseases.

Understanding the Nipah Virus: A Zoonotic Origin Story

Nipah virus (NiV) is not a newcomer. It is a paramyxovirus, in the same family as measles and mumps, but with a deadlier disposition. It was first identified in 1999 during an outbreak among pig farmers in Sungai Nipah, Malaysia. The transmission chain was traced back to fruit bats of the Pteropus genus—the virus’s natural reservoir—who dropped partially eaten fruit into pig pens. The pigs became amplifying hosts, and from them, the virus jumped to humans.

The South Asian strain, however, revealed a more direct and dangerous pathway. In annual outbreaks in Bangladesh and parts of India, humans contract the virus primarily through consuming raw date palm sap contaminated by bat urine or saliva. From there, it gains the ability for efficient human-to-human transmission through close contact with respiratory droplets or bodily fluids, often in家庭or hospital settings. This capacity for person-to-person spread places it in a category of concern distinct from many other zoonoses.

“Nipah sits at a dangerous intersection,” explains a virologist with the World Health Organization’s (WHO) Emerging Diseases unit. “It has a high mutation rate, a high fatality rate, and proven ability to spread between people. While its outbreaks have so far been sporadic and localized, each event is an opportunity for the virus to better adapt to human hosts.” The WHO lists Nipah as a priority pathogen for research and development, alongside Ebola and SARS-CoV-2.

Key Symptoms and Progression: From Fever to Encephalitis

The symptoms of Nipah virus infection can be deceptively nonspecific at first, often leading to critical delays in diagnosis and isolation. The incubation period ranges from 4 to 14 days. The illness typically progresses in two phases:

  • Initial Phase: Patients present with flu-like symptoms including:
    • High fever
    • Severe headache
    • Muscle pain (myalgia)
    • Vomiting and sore throat
  • Neurological Phase: Within 24-48 hours, the infection can progress to acute encephalitis (brain inflammation). Signs of this dangerous progression include:
    • Dizziness, drowsiness, and altered consciousness.
    • Acute confusion or disorientation.
    • Seizures.
    • Atypical pneumonia and severe respiratory distress.
    • In severe cases, coma within 48 hours.
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According to the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), the case fatality rate is estimated at 40% to 75%, a staggering figure that varies by outbreak and local healthcare capacity. Survivors of severe encephalitis are often left with long-term neurological conditions, such as seizure disorders and personality changes.

Transmission Routes and Risk Factors

Understanding Nipah virus transmission is key to breaking its chain. The routes are specific but expose critical vulnerabilities in our food systems and healthcare protocols.

  1. Zoonotic (Animal-to-Human): The primary route. The consumption of raw date palm sap or fruit contaminated by infected bats is the major risk factor in Bangladesh and India. Direct contact with infected bats or their excrement is also a risk. Interestingly, while pigs were the intermediate host in Malaysia, they have not played a role in South Asian outbreaks.
  2. Human-to-Human: This is the driver of hospital-based and家庭clusters. The virus spreads through:
    • Direct contact with respiratory droplets (coughing, sneezing) from an infected person.
    • Contact with bodily fluids (saliva, urine, blood) of an infected person.
    • Contact with contaminated surfaces in clinical or care settings.

This mode of transmission makes healthcare workers exceptionally vulnerable, as seen in the current West Bengal cases and the devastating 2018 Kerala outbreak, where a nurse lost her life after treating an index patient. The lack of early, specific symptoms means Nipah can enter a hospital disguised as a common fever.

The Current Outbreak in West Bengal: Containment Under Pressure

The Nipah virus India 2026 outbreak is centered in West Bengal, with confirmed cases receiving treatment in Kolkata-area hospitals. As reported by NDTV, state health authorities have confirmed at least five cases, including healthcare workers, with one patient in critical condition. The swift response includes:

  • The quarantine and daily monitoring of nearly 100 high-risk contacts.
  • Isolation wards established in designated hospitals.
  • Enhanced surveillance in the affected districts.
  • Public advisories against consuming raw date palm sap.

This outbreak echoes, but is geographically distinct from, the several deadly encounters Kerala has had with the virus, most notably in 2018 and 2023. Each outbreak tests India’s increasingly robust—yet uneven—infectious disease response infrastructure. The Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR) and the National Institute of Virology (NIV) have deployed teams and are supporting rapid testing, which is crucial for containment.

Airports in the region, recalling measures from previous health crises, have reportedly instituted thermal screening for passengers from affected areas, a move aimed more at public reassurance than efficacy, given Nipah’s incubation period.

Why the Fatality Rate Is So High: A Perfect Storm of Factors

The alarming Nipah virus fatality rate is a product of biological, clinical, and systemic factors:

  • Neurotropism: The virus has a strong affinity for neural tissue, leading to rapid and often irreversible brain inflammation.
  • Lack of Specific Treatment: There is no vaccine for Nipah virus and no licensed antiviral therapy. Treatment is purely supportive: managing fever, ensuring hydration, treating seizures, and, in severe cases, mechanical ventilation. Monoclonal antibodies are under development and have been used compassionately in past outbreaks, but they are not widely available.
  • Diagnostic Delays: Early symptoms mimic common illnesses. Without rapid, point-of-care diagnostics, critical isolation and care protocols are delayed, increasing the opportunity for spread and disease progression.
  • Healthcare-Associated Transmission: Outbreaks can overwhelm infection prevention controls in hospitals, turning healthcare facilities into amplification points, which increases the overall case count and mortality.
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Global Implications and Preparedness

While the current Nipah virus outbreak is a local crisis, its implications are global. In an interconnected world, no outbreak is truly isolated. The World Health Organization stresses that Nipah epidemics can cause severe disease and death in humans, posing a significant public health concern.

Furthermore, Nipah is a paradigm for a larger threat. Habitat loss and climate change are bringing wildlife and humans into more frequent contact. The Pteropus bat’s range is vast, spanning from the Gulf through the Indian subcontinent to Southeast Asia and Australia. Urbanization and agricultural expansion increase the odds of spillover events.

“The story of Nipah is the story of our time,” notes a global health security analyst in a piece for SCMP. “It’s a virus that exists in nature, held in check by ecological balance. When we disrupt that balance through deforestation, intensive farming, or climate stress, we roll the dice on spillover. West Bengal today could be somewhere else tomorrow.”

International preparedness is patchy. High-income countries have sophisticated biosecurity labs but may lack experience with the virus. Countries in the endemic region have hard-earned field experience but often lack resources. Bridging this gap through data sharing, capacity building, and joint research is essential.

Prevention and Future Outlook

Until a Nipah virus vaccine becomes a reality, prevention hinges on public awareness, robust surveillance, and classical public health measures:

  • Community Education: In endemic areas, public campaigns must clearly communicate the dangers of consuming raw date palm sap and advise covering sap collection pots to prevent bat access.
  • Enhanced Surveillance: Implementing a “One Health” approach that integrates human, animal, and environmental health monitoring to detect spillover events early.
  • Hospital Readiness: Ensuring healthcare facilities in at-risk regions have protocols for rapid identification, isolation, and infection control, and that workers have adequate personal protective equipment (PPE).
  • Accelerating Research: The pandemic has shown the world the value of platform technologies for vaccines. Several Nipah virus vaccine candidates are in various trial stages, supported by initiatives like the Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations (CEPI). Similarly, research into antiviral treatments like remdesivir and monoclonal antibodies must be prioritized.

The future outlook is one of cautious vigilance. Eradicating Nipah is impossible—its reservoir is wild, winged, and widespread. The goal is effective management: early detection, swift containment, and reducing the case fatality rate through better care and, eventually, medical countermeasures.

Conclusion: A Test of Vigilance and Cooperation

The patients in Kolkata’s isolation wards are more than statistics; they are a poignant call to action. The Nipah virus India outbreak in West Bengal is a flare in the night, illuminating the persistent vulnerabilities in our global health defenses. It reminds us that while COVID-19 may have redefined our scale of concern, it did not invent the underlying risks.

Nipah’s high fatality rate and capacity for human-to-human transmission demand respect, but not panic. The response in West Bengal demonstrates that with swift action, contact tracing, and community engagement, chains of transmission can be broken, even without a magic bullet cure.

Ultimately, the narrative of Nipah is not solely one of threat, but of trajectory. It shows where we have been—reactive, often scrambling. And it points to where we must go: toward a proactive, collaborative, and equitable system of pandemic preparedness. This means investing in research for neglected pathogens, strengthening health systems at the grassroots, and respecting the delicate ecological balances that, when disturbed, send silent passengers from the forest into our midst. The goal is not just to contain the outbreak of today, but to build a world resilient to the viruses of tomorrow.


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Analysis

Systematic Inhumane Persecution in Jammu & Kashmir

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This written communication draws the attention of the United Nations and its human rights mechanisms to persistent and grave violations in Jammu and Kashmir, which cumulatively raise serious concerns under international human rights law and international criminal law, including the threshold of crimes against humanity.

For decades, the civilian population of Jammu and Kashmir has lived under one of the world’s most militarized environments. Since August 2019 in particular, restrictions on civil liberties have intensified, marked by arbitrary arrests, prolonged detentions without trial, torture and ill-treatment, extrajudicial killings, enforced disappearances, and collective punishment under the guise of national security.

On 24 November 2025, ten UN Special Rapporteurs issued a joint statement condemning “reports of arbitrary arrests and detentions, suspicious deaths in custody, torture and other ill-treatment, lynchings, and discriminatory treatment of Kashmiri and Muslim communities.”

These concerns echo findings previously documented by Michelle Bachelet,the United Nations High Commissioner for Human Rights (OHCHR) in its 2019 report, which warned of an entrenched culture of impunity and lack of accountability for serious violations.

Independent experts on mass atrocities have sounded early warnings. Gregory Stanton, Founder of Genocide Watch, has stated that Kashmir exhibits multiple risk factors associated with genocide, including extreme militarization, denial of identity, suppression of dissent, and systemic impunity.

Freedom of expression and access to information have been severely curtailed. The Committee to Protect Journalists has repeatedly warned that journalism in Kashmir has been effectively criminalized, leaving the population voiceless.

Award-winning journalists and scholars—such as Masarat Zahra and Dr. Nitasha Kaul (British Academic) —have faced harassment, travel bans, and reprisals, including the denial of entry to India, amounting to transnational repression.

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The recent attachment of properties belonging to members of the Kashmiri diaspora who advocate a peaceful resolution of the Kashmir dispute is deeply alarming. These measures appear aimed at intimidating and silencing dissenting voices and preventing the international community from understanding the reality on the ground.

Equally disturbing is the forthcoming trial of Mohammad Yasin Malik before the Supreme Court of India, where the government is seeking the death penalty, a move that has sent shockwaves across Kashmir and among human rights advocates worldwide. The recent convictions of Asiya Andrabi, Nahida Nasreen and Fahmeeda Sofi serve no legitimate purpose other than to suppress political expression and peaceful advocacy.

The continued incarceration of Shabir Ahmed Shah and Masarat Alam, without credible justification, further underscores a pattern of repression aimed at dismantling legitimate political leadership in Kashmir. The prolonged confinement of Khurram Parvez, an internationally known human rights advocate violates all norms of international standards.

These actions collectively reflect a troubling pattern of repression and raise serious concerns under international human rights law. Urgent intervention by the United Nations is essential to protect fundamental freedoms, uphold the rule of law, and prevent further deterioration of the human rights situation in Jammu and Kashmir.

My concerns are consistent with observations made by other United Nations independent experts, international NGO’s, scholars and academics.

Mary Lawlor, UN Special Rapporteur on Human Rights Defenders said on the targeting of Kashmiri civil society: “The continued use of counter-terrorism legislation to silence human rights defenders in Jammu and Kashmir is deeply alarming. Peaceful human rights work must never be criminalized under the guise of national security.”

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Dr. Fernand de Varennes, UN Special Rapporteur on Minority Issues (2020): “Restrictions imposed in Jammu and Kashmir appear to be inconsistent with international human rights norms, particularly those protecting minorities.”

International Commission of Jurists (ICJ): “The prolonged denial of civil liberties in Jammu and Kashmir raises serious concerns under international law, including the prohibition of collective punishment and arbitrary detention.”

Amnesty International: “India’s claims of ‘normalcy’ in Kashmir are contradicted by widespread repression, including arbitrary detentions, communication blackouts, and collective punishment of civilians.”

Human Rights Watch: “Impunity for security forces remains the norm, fostering further abuses and denying justice to victims.”

Timely and principled intervention by the United Nations is essential to restore confidence in the rule of law, protect fundamental freedoms, and bring a measure of sanity and accountability to the situation in Jammu and Kashmir.

This submission urges the United Nations to:

  1. Initiate independent international investigations into alleged crimes against humanity in Jammu and Kashmir.
  2. Press for the repeal or reform of laws enabling arbitrary detention and collective punishment.
  3. Persuade India to release Mohammad Yasin Malik, Shabbir Ahmed Shah, Masar Aalam, Asiya Andrabi, Nahida NasreenFahmeeda Soofi, Khurram Parvez and others immediately.
  4. Ensure access to UN Special Procedures, international observers, and independent media.
  5. Call for accountability and remedies for victims, consistent with international law.

Silence and inaction risk normalizing repression. The situation in Jammu and Kashmir demands sustained international scrutiny and principled engagement.


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