Opinion
Taiwan’s 2024 Elections: What Really Matters to Voters Beyond China
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Introduction
Taiwan’s upcoming presidential election on January 13th, 2024, has garnered international attention, with both China and the United States keeping a close watch on the island state’s political landscape. While cross-strait relations with China have been a central issue in previous elections, this year’s election is about more than just that. The ruling party, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), cannot win on cross-strait policy alone.

Taiwan’s Political Landscape has been dominated by the DPP and the Kuomintang (KMT) parties for decades, with the DPP currently in power. However, the emergence of new political parties, such as the Taiwan People’s Party and the New Power Party, has disrupted the traditional two-party system. This election will test the popularity of these new parties and their ability to gain a foothold in Taiwan’s political landscape.
Cross-Strait Relations between Taiwan and China have been strained in recent years due to China’s increasing pressure on Taiwan to reunify with the mainland. However, this election’s outcome will also have implications for Taiwan’s relationships with other countries, particularly the United States. As Taiwan’s most important ally, the U.S. has a vested interest in the election’s outcome and will be closely watching the election dynamics.
Key Takeaways
- Taiwan’s upcoming presidential election is about more than just cross-strait relations with China.
- The ruling party, the DPP, cannot win on cross-strait policy alone.
- The election’s outcome will have implications for Taiwan’s relationships with other countries, particularly the United States.
Taiwan’s Political Landscape

Domestic Issues and Voter Concerns
Taiwan’s elections are not just about cross-strait policy, but also about domestic issues and voter concerns. According to a NPR article, the top five issues for Taiwanese voters are the economy, healthcare, housing, education, and employment.
The economy is a major issue for voters, with concerns about job opportunities and income inequality. The healthcare system is also a concern, with some Taiwanese citizens feeling that the current system is inadequate. Housing is another issue, with high housing prices making it difficult for young people to afford their own homes. Education is also a concern, with some citizens feeling that the education system is too focused on memorization and not enough on critical thinking.
The Role of the Ruling Party
The ruling party in Taiwan, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), cannot win the election on cross-strait policy alone. The Reuters article explains that the DPP’s main opponent, the Kuomintang (KMT), is focusing on domestic issues such as the economy and housing.
The DPP’s incumbent president, Tsai Ing-wen, has made cross-strait policy a major part of her campaign, but she is also addressing domestic issues. For example, she has proposed policies to address income inequality and to increase affordable housing.
In conclusion, Taiwan’s elections are about more than just cross-strait policy. Domestic issues such as the economy, healthcare, housing, education, and employment are also major concerns for Taiwanese voters. The ruling party cannot win on cross-strait policy alone and must also address these domestic issues to win the election.
Cross-Strait Relations

The relationship between Taiwan and China has been a major issue in the upcoming Taiwanese presidential election. The ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) has been advocating for Taiwan’s independence and has been critical of China’s increasing influence over the island. On the other hand, the opposition Kuomintang (KMT) party has traditionally pursued closer ties with China.
Impact on Election Strategies
The issue of cross-strait relations has shaped the election strategies of the presidential candidates. The DPP’s candidate, President Tsai Ing-wen, has been emphasizing the need to maintain Taiwan’s sovereignty and independence, while the KMT’s candidate, Han Kuo-yu, has been advocating for closer ties with China.
The DPP has been highlighting China’s increasing military threats and its attempts to isolate Taiwan diplomatically. The party has also been critical of the KMT’s pro-China stance and has accused the opposition of being a “Chinese puppet.”
The KMT, on the other hand, has been emphasizing the economic benefits of closer ties with China. The party has accused the DPP of damaging Taiwan’s economy by pursuing a confrontational approach towards China.
Voter Perspectives on China
The issue of cross-strait relations is also important to Taiwanese voters. Many voters are concerned about China’s increasing influence over Taiwan and its attempts to undermine Taiwan’s sovereignty. According to a recent poll, 70% of Taiwanese voters support maintaining the status quo in cross-strait relations, while only 16% support unification with China.
The DPP has been successful in mobilizing voters who are concerned about China’s influence over Taiwan. The party’s strong stance on Taiwan’s sovereignty has resonated with many voters, especially younger voters who are more likely to identify as Taiwanese rather than Chinese.
The KMT, on the other hand, has struggled to appeal to younger voters who are more skeptical of China. The party’s pro-China stance has alienated many voters who are concerned about Taiwan’s independence and sovereignty.
Overall, cross-strait relations have emerged as a key issue in the upcoming Taiwanese presidential election. While the DPP has been successful in mobilizing voters who are concerned about China’s influence over Taiwan, the KMT has been struggling to appeal to younger voters who are more skeptical of China.
Election Dynamics

Campaign Approaches
The ruling party in Taiwan, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), is seeking re-election in 2024. However, they cannot rely solely on their cross-strait policy to win the election. The opposition party, the Kuomintang (KMT), has criticized the DPP’s approach towards China, and has instead focused on economic issues. The KMT’s presidential candidate, Hou Yu-ih, has pledged to revive cross-strait trade and improve Taiwan’s economic ties with China [1].
The DPP, on the other hand, has emphasized their achievements in social welfare, national defense, and human rights. They have also focused on promoting Taiwan’s participation in international organizations and strengthening ties with other countries. The DPP’s presidential candidate, Lai Ching-te, has promised to continue the party’s efforts to defend Taiwan’s sovereignty and democracy [2].
Key Electoral Issues
Apart from cross-strait policy, the key electoral issues in Taiwan’s 2024 presidential election include the economy, social welfare, national defense, and human rights. The KMT has criticized the DPP’s economic policies, particularly their focus on domestic demand rather than export-oriented growth. The KMT has promised to create more jobs and attract more foreign investment to Taiwan [1].
The DPP has emphasized their achievements in social welfare, including the introduction of a universal pension system and the expansion of long-term care services. They have also focused on national defense, particularly in the face of China’s increasing military aggression towards Taiwan. The DPP has promised to continue investing in defense capabilities and strengthening Taiwan’s military alliance with the United States. The DPP has also emphasized their commitment to human rights, including the promotion of gender equality and the protection of freedom of speech [2].
Overall, Taiwan’s 2024 presidential election is expected to be closely contested, with both the DPP and KMT focusing on different issues to appeal to voters. While cross-strait policy remains an important issue for Taiwan, voters are also concerned about other issues such as the economy, social welfare, national defense, and human rights.
References:
- Taiwan’s elections are about more than China – The Economist
- 4 things to know about Taiwan’s ‘crucial’ election – NPR
Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main issues influencing the outcome of Taiwan’s presidential elections?
The main issues that are influencing Taiwan’s presidential elections are the economy, social welfare, and cross-strait relations. The economy is always a top concern for Taiwanese voters, and the candidates are expected to present their plans to improve the economy. Social welfare, including healthcare, pensions, and affordable housing, is also a significant issue for voters. Cross-strait relations between China and Taiwan are also a crucial factor that will impact the election outcome.
How does the tension between China and Taiwan impact the island’s political landscape?
The tension between China and Taiwan has a significant impact on Taiwan’s political landscape. The two countries have been in a political stalemate since the Chinese Civil War ended in 1949, and China has always claimed Taiwan as part of its territory. This tension has led to a political divide in Taiwan, with some advocating for closer ties with China and others pushing for greater independence.
What are the political stances of Taiwan’s major parties regarding cross-strait relations?
The two major parties in Taiwan are the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) and the Kuomintang (KMT). The DPP has traditionally been more supportive of Taiwan’s independence and has pushed for a more assertive stance towards China. The KMT, on the other hand, has traditionally been more supportive of closer ties with China and has advocated for a peaceful resolution to the cross-strait issue.
How does international support play a role in Taiwan’s electoral politics?
International support plays a significant role in Taiwan’s electoral politics. The United States is a key ally of Taiwan and has been supportive of its efforts to maintain its independence. Other countries, such as Japan and Australia, have also been supportive of Taiwan’s efforts to maintain its sovereignty.
What strategies is Taiwan employing to counteract China’s claims and pressures?
Taiwan has implemented several strategies to counteract China’s claims and pressures. One of the most important strategies is to maintain a strong military presence and to invest in advanced military technology. Taiwan has also sought to strengthen its diplomatic ties with other countries and has pursued closer economic ties with other countries in the region.
What is the maximum tenure for a president in Taiwan, and how could this affect long-term strategy?
The maximum tenure for a president in Taiwan is two terms of four years each. This could affect long-term strategy in several ways. First, it means that presidents have a limited amount of time to implement their policies. Second, it means that there is a degree of continuity in Taiwan’s political leadership, as presidents are limited to two terms. Finally, it means that there is a degree of stability in Taiwan’s political system, as there is a regular turnover of power.
Events
Sindh Craft Festival 2025: Celebrate the Colors of Tradition in Karachi!
Get ready to immerse yourself in the rich tapestry of Sindhi culture! The Culture Department, Government of Sindh, is proud to announce the return of the Sindh Craft Festival 2025, a vibrant three-day event celebrating the artistry, music, and heritage of Sindh.
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📅 Event Details at a Glance
- Dates: 28 – 30 November, 2025
- Venue: Port Grand, Karachi
- Organized by: Culture Department, Government of Sindh

🎨 A Showcase of Sindhi Craftsmanship
The heart of the festival lies in its dedication to preserving and promoting the exquisite traditions of Sindhi artisans. Prepare to be dazzled by:
- Handicrafts: Explore a mesmerizing collection of traditional crafts, including Ajrak, Ralli work, ceramics, embroidery, jewelry, and more. This is a perfect opportunity to meet the master craftspeople and take home authentic pieces of Sindhi heritage.
- Folk Music: The festival grounds will come alive with the captivating melodies of traditional Sindhi folk music, featuring renowned and emerging artists.
- Cultural Dances: Witness dynamic performances of Sindhi cultural dances that tell stories of the land and its people.
- And Much More: Expect a variety of food stalls, cultural exhibits, and engaging activities for the whole family!
💫 Let’s Celebrate Tradition, Craftsmanship & Culture
This is more than just a festival; it’s a journey into the soul of Sindh. It’s an opportunity to appreciate the skills passed down through generations and to support the artisans who keep these beautiful traditions alive. Come and experience the warmth, colors, and hospitality that Sindh is famous for.
Mark your calendars, bring your friends and family, and join us at Port Grand, Karachi, from November 28th to 30th for an unforgettable cultural experience!
🌐 Stay Connected
For updates and more information, follow the official channels:
- Facebook: /SindhCultureDepartment
- Instagram (Implied): @DGCulturesindh
- Website: www.sindhculture.gov.pk
Analysis
Justice Denied? Inside Trump’s 2025 War on the ICC to Shield Israel
On February 6, 2025, the fragile détente between Washington and The Hague shattered. In a move that legal scholars called “the single most significant rupture in transatlantic legal relations since 1945”, President Donald Trump signed Executive Order 14203.
While the order, titled “Imposing Sanctions on the International Criminal Court”, established the legal framework, the US “war on the ICC” did not happen all at once—it was a calculated, year-long escalation designed to dismantle the court’s ability to function.
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Phase 1: The February First Strike (Prosecutor Khan)
The collision course began immediately after the inauguration. Citing the November 2024 arrest warrants for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Defence Minister Yoav Gallant, the Trump administration declared a national emergency.
Executive Order 14203 was signed on February 6, immediately freezing the US assets of Prosecutor Karim Khan. The British King’s Counsel, who had requested the warrants, was effectively locked out of the US financial system. The White House justified the move by framing the ICC’s assertion of jurisdiction over non-state parties (Israel and the US) as an “unusual and extraordinary threat to national security.”
Phase 2: The August Escalation (Judge Guillou)
The conflict remained a diplomatic standoff until the summer, when the administration decided to target the judiciary itself. On August 20, 2025, Secretary of State Marco Rubio announced the unprecedented designation of four ICC judges.
The Primary Target: Judge Nicolas Guillou—a French national and former counter-terrorism magistrate—was sanctioned for his role in the Pre-Trial Chamber that approved the warrants.
- The Impact: This marked the first time the US Treasury (OFAC) sanctioned a judge from a NATO ally (France) for issuing a ruling.
- Diplomatic Fallout: The move sparked a crisis with Paris. The UN spokesperson, Stephane Dujarric, publicly criticised the “unilateral sanctions” for inflicting “significant personal harm” on the judges and their families.
Also swept up in the July-August dragnet was Francesca Albanese, the UN Special Rapporteur, who Rubio labelled as having “open contempt” for US allies.
Phase 3: The Domestic Front (November 2025)
The battle has now moved to American soil. Just this week, on November 24, 2025, Senator Ted Budd (R-NC) introduced the “American Allies Protection Act”.
This legislation was not a random manoeuvre but a direct response to a domestic rebellion: NYC Mayor-elect Zohran Mamdani had pledged to arrest Netanyahu if he set foot in New York for the UN General Assembly. Budd’s bill proposes stripping Department of Justice funding from any municipality that attempts to enforce ICC warrants, effectively weaponising federal grants to ensure local compliance with US foreign policy.
The Rule of Law Paradox
The sanctioning of Judge Guillou presents a profound paradox. For decades, the US has championed the “rules-based international order”. Yet, by using sanctions—typically reserved for terrorists and cartels—against a French jurist, the US has signalled that this order is subordinate to American geopolitical interests.
As we approach 2026, the question is no longer whether the ICC can prosecute war crimes, but whether its officials can survive the economic wrath of the United States long enough to try.
Analysis
The 2026 Medicare Sticker Shock: Why Your COLA Raise Is Already Gone
The Social Security Administration delivered the news retirees desperately wanted to hear: a 2.8% 2026 Social Security COLA increase, designed to shield fixed incomes from persistent inflation. For the average retiree, that translates to roughly a $56 per month increase.
Sounds good, right? Don’t deposit that phantom raise just yet.
As a senior healthcare policy analyst, I can tell you that the accompanying announcement from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) is the silent thief in the night. The sharp increase in Medicare 2026 premiums is poised to claw back nearly one-third of the entire COLA, leaving millions of seniors with little more than a nominal net increase—and, for some, no increase at all.
The illusion of a raise is quickly yielding to the reality of the healthcare squeeze.
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The Brutal Math: How the Premium Hike Neutralizes the COLA
The key numbers that matter most to retirees on Original Medicare are staggering.
- Old Standard Part B Premium (2025): $185.00
- New Standard Medicare Part B premium 2026: $202.90
- The Difference: An increase of $17.90 per month.
Since the Part B premium is automatically deducted from your Social Security check, this is an immediate, inescapable reduction to your net income.
| Calculation | Monthly Increase | Impact |
| Gross COLA Increase (Avg.) | ~$56.00 | The headline raise. |
| Less: Part B Premium Hike | -$17.90 | The mandatory deduction. |
| Net Gain (Avg.) | ~$38.10 | What’s left for food, gas, and utilities. |
That $17.90 hike consumes approximately 32% of the average retiree’s raise, bringing the effective COLA down from 2.8% to around 2.1%. After a year of intense inflation hitting food, fuel, and housing, this marginal net gain offers almost no genuine retiree inflation protection. It is the largest erosion of the COLA by Medicare premiums since 2017.
The Hidden Costs You Must Also Face
Beyond the standard premium, two other numbers underscore the rising financial pressure:
- Medicare Part B deductible increase: This is rising from $257 to $283. This is the amount you must pay out-of-pocket annually before Part B coverage kicks in.
- Part A Inpatient Deductible: This is also rising to over $1,736 per benefit period. A single, unexpected hospitalization could now cost hundreds of dollars more than it did in 2025.
For those with smaller Social Security checks, the “hold harmless” provision will thankfully prevent your net benefit from decreasing. However, it also means your check essentially won’t grow at all, leaving you with zero net benefit from the COLA to battle rising consumer prices.
📈 The Wealth Penalty: IRMAA Brackets 2026
The squeeze is exponentially tighter for affluent and upper-middle-class retirees who are subject to the Income-Related Monthly Adjustment Amount (IRMAA). This surcharge requires higher earners to pay a larger percentage of the Part B program cost.
The initial IRMAA trigger is now based on your 2024 tax filing.
- IRMAA Trigger 2026 (Single Filers): Modified Adjusted Gross Income (MAGI) > $109,000
- IRMAA Trigger 2026 (Joint Filers): MAGI > $218,000
The problem? Many retirees are only slightly above these thresholds, often due to a single, planned event like selling an appreciated asset or executing a small Roth conversion. Falling into that first IRMAA bracket can jump your total Part B monthly premium from $202.90 to $284.10 (and higher tiers escalate steeply from there), completely vaporizing the 2.8% COLA and potentially reducing your actual net monthly income.
Actionable Advice: Three Moves to Protect Your Income Now
The reality of these high Medicare deductible 2026 and premium costs demands a proactive financial stance. Here are three strategies to mitigate the damage:
1. Optimize Your Taxable Income (The IRMAA Strategy)
If you are close to an IRMAA threshold, work immediately with your tax advisor to manage your 2026 IRMAA brackets exposure.
- Qualified Charitable Distributions (QCDs): If you are 70.5 or older, use QCDs from your IRA to satisfy your Required Minimum Distribution (RMD). This lowers your MAGI without generating taxable income.
- Roth Conversions: Strategically time any Roth conversions to stay under the IRMAA limit. A large conversion this year could cost you thousands in surcharges two years from now.
2. Review Your Part D and Medicare Advantage Options
Since this is Open Enrollment Season, don’t default to your old plan.
- Part D Surcharges: IRMAA also applies to Part D prescription drug coverage. Review your Part D plan’s premium and its coverage of your specific medications.
- Medicare Advantage: While not for everyone, many MA plans offer $0 Part B premiums and incorporate Part D coverage, offering a way to avoid the direct Part B premium hike—though you must weigh network restrictions and out-of-pocket limits.
3. File an IRMAA Appeal (The SSA-44)
Did a life-changing event (e.g., stopping work, reduction in work hours, divorce, death of a spouse) significantly reduce your income since 2024? If so, you can file a Form SSA-44 with Social Security to appeal the IRMAA determination based on your current reduced income, potentially lowering your premium tier immediately.
The 2.8% COLA was supposed to be a lifeline against inflation. For millions of American seniors, it will instead be a transfer payment to cover soaring healthcare costs. Planning now is the only way to ensure the net number on your Social Security check is maximized.
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