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Ahsan Iqbal reviews the Ministry of Planning, Development and Special Initiatives Work on Projects

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Federal Minister for Planning Development & Special Initiatives Professor Ahsan Iqbal directed to hold Turn Around Pakistan (TAP) Conference in order to address key challenges of the country and to find their solutions through short-term and mid-term measures. The decision was taken on Wednesday while chairing a first ministerial meeting which was attended by Deputy Chairman, Planning Commission, Secretary, Additional Secretary, Members and all Chiefs of the sections.

“Invite all the stakeholders from across the Pakistan in TAP Conference to find ways to kick off the economy by taking immediate remedial measures,” said newly-appointed minister for Planning Development & Special Initiatives while chairing a high level meeting. “The prime objective of the conference is to engage all the relevant stakeholders from across the country and take their input in order to put the country’s economy on track which unfortunately has been thrown in dire condition, said the minister.

While referring to the stakeholders Conference held in 2013 for preparation of vision 2025, the minister said that no policy can be successful without stakeholders ownership. There is rich talent in academia and private sector which must be harnessed. “There is a dire need to develop the economy on cluster based approach and Planning Commission must play its role as development think tank of the country,” he added.

The minister further said that every section chief should be a knowledge leader in his/her field, while stressing the government officials to take the decisions with confidence as (he) will stand behind them. “Your work is not just to clear PC-1s of the projects but to develop and shape development agenda of the country and to implement it,” said the minister. The minister further said that in 2013 Planning Commission was part of the Finance Division and nobody knew about it but it was granted autonomous status by PMLN government and it developed and implemented 2025 vision very successfully.

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During 2013-18 more than Rs 700 billion were saved through rationalisation and scrutiny of development schemes by Planning Commission. Same spirit and professionalism should be revived. Prime Minister wants to see Pakistan Speed in every sector, he added. During the meeting, officials of various section shared their opinion which was appreciated by the minister and reiterated that it will be taken in TAP Conference to be held soon.

China

China Calls for Critical IMF Reforms to Reflect Asian Economic Prowess

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The People’s Bank of China governor, Pan Gongsheng, has called for “critical” reforms to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to better reflect the weight of emerging markets and Asian countries. Speaking at the Boao Forum for Asia on Wednesday, Gongsheng highlighted the need for established international institutions to adapt to the changing global economic landscape. He also appealed to central bank officials from Indonesia, Singapore, and Mongolia to work together to achieve this goal.

A group of Asian leaders gather around a table, discussing IMF reforms. China's influence is evident as they call for critical changes

Gongsheng’s comments come as China seeks to assert its economic prowess on the global stage. The country has become increasingly vocal in its calls for reform of international institutions, arguing that they are outdated and do not reflect the changing balance of economic power. As the world’s second-largest economy, China believes it should have a greater say in the governance of these institutions.

The governor’s appeal for a collective Asian voice in IMF reforms is likely to be welcomed by other emerging market countries in the region. Many have long argued that the current system is biased towards developed countries and does not take into account the unique challenges faced by emerging markets. By working together, Asian countries could have a greater influence on the direction of global economic policy.

China’s Call for IMF Reforms

China demands IMF reforms, reflecting its economic strength. Asian unity emphasized

Pan Gongsheng’s Address at Boao Forum

The People’s Bank of China governor, Pan Gongsheng, addressed the Boao Forum for Asia on Wednesday, calling for critical reforms to established international institutions such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF). He urged central bank officials from Indonesia, Singapore and Mongolia to work together to reflect the weight of Asian countries and emerging markets.

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Need for Institutional Reform

Gongsheng’s appeal for reform comes as China and other emerging markets seek to have a greater say in global economic governance. He argued that the current global financial system does not adequately reflect the economic prowess of emerging markets, and that the IMF in particular needs to be reformed to better reflect the changing global economic landscape.

Gongsheng’s call for IMF reforms is not new, but it comes at a time when China is seeking to assert itself as a global economic power. China has been pushing for greater representation in the IMF and other international financial institutions, arguing that the current system is dominated by Western powers and does not adequately represent the interests of emerging markets.

Overall, Gongsheng’s speech highlights the growing importance of Asia and emerging markets in the global economy, and the need for established international institutions to adapt to reflect this changing reality.

Asian Collective Voice

A group of Asian leaders gather around a table, discussing IMF reforms. Their expressions are serious and determined, reflecting their collective economic influence

Central Banks Collaboration

At the Boao Forum for Asia, Pan Gongsheng, the governor of People’s Bank of China, called for central banks from Indonesia, Singapore, Mongolia and other emerging Asian countries to collaborate and reflect the weight of Asian countries. He emphasized that established international institutions are in need of reform to mirror the economic prowess of emerging markets.

Collaboration between central banks can lead to more effective policies and strategies that can benefit the entire region. This can also increase the influence of Asian countries on the global stage and help shape the direction of the global economy.

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Reflecting Asian Economic Weight

Pan Gongsheng’s call for reform reflects the growing economic weight of Asian countries and the need for established institutions to reflect this reality. The economic growth of Asia has been significant in recent years, and this trend is expected to continue in the future.

Reforms to international institutions can help address the challenges faced by emerging markets and promote sustainable economic growth. By reflecting the economic weight of Asian countries, these institutions can ensure that policies and strategies are more inclusive and effective.

In conclusion, the collaboration of central banks and the reflection of Asian economic weight in international institutions are crucial steps towards a more balanced and sustainable global economy.

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Analysis

The US Faces a Market Shock: An Analysis of the Soaring Debt and Its Impact on the Economy

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Introduction

The US economy is facing a significant challenge as the national debt continues to soar, reaching unprecedented levels. The independent Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has warned that the fiscal burden is on an ‘unprecedented’ path, echoing concerns raised by the UK’s former Chancellor, Liz Truss, who faced a similar market shock due to her government’s debt management strategies. This article aims to provide a well-researched and analytical perspective on the current state of the US economy, comparing it with other countries, and discussing potential debt management strategies.

1: The State of the US Economy
The US economy has been experiencing a period of significant growth, with the GDP expanding at an annual rate of 2.6% in the fourth quarter of 2023. However, this growth has been accompanied by a surge in the national debt, which has reached $31.4 trillion, or 126% of GDP. This is the highest debt-to-GDP ratio since the end of World War II. The CBO has projected that the debt will continue to grow, reaching $36.5 trillion by 2033.

2: Comparison with Other Countries
The US is not alone in facing a debt crisis. Many other countries, including the UK, Japan, and Italy, are also grappling with high levels of debt. However, the pace at which the US debt is growing is particularly concerning. As of 2023, the US has the highest total public debt of any country in the world. This is partly due to the large stimulus packages implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic, which have contributed to a significant increase in government spending.

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3: Impact on the US Economy
The soaring debt has several potential negative impacts on the US economy. Firstly, it could lead to higher interest rates, as investors demand higher returns to compensate for the increased risk of lending to the US government. This could slow down economic growth and potentially trigger a recession. Secondly, the debt could lead to a loss of confidence in the US dollar, as investors may perceive it as a less safe investment compared to other currencies. Lastly, the debt could lead to a decline in the US’s credit rating, making it more expensive for the government to borrow money.

4: Debt Management Strategies
To mitigate the negative impacts of the soaring debt, the US government could implement several debt management strategies. These include:

  1. Fiscal consolidation: Reducing government spending and increasing taxes to reduce the deficit and lower the debt-to-GDP ratio.
  2. Structural reforms: Implementing reforms to increase economic growth and reduce the burden of the debt on future generations.
  3. Debt restructuring: Negotiating with creditors to restructure the debt, potentially reducing the interest rate or extending the repayment period.
  4. Inflation targeting: Managing inflation to ensure that the real value of the debt does not increase too rapidly.

Conclusion
The US economy is facing a significant challenge due to the soaring national debt. This debt can potentially impact the economy negatively, and the government must implement effective debt management strategies to mitigate these risks. By comparing the US situation with other countries and analyzing the potential impacts of the debt, this article provides a comprehensive perspective on the current state of the US economy.

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China

Decoding China’s Consumer Price Rebound Amid Deflation Risks: Insights & Analysis

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Introduction

China’s consumer prices have shown signs of rebounding, thanks to a holiday boom. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) grew by 0.7% year on year in February, surpassing expectations and marking the first rise after six consecutive months of decline. However, amidst this positive development, there are looming concerns about deflation risks as factory gate prices continue to fall for the 17th consecutive month. This article delves into the intricacies of China’s current economic landscape, analyzing the factors contributing to the CPI growth and exploring the implications of persistent deflation risks.

1: Understanding China’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) Growth
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) serves as a key indicator of inflation and reflects changes in the prices paid by consumers for goods and services. The recent 0.7% year-on-year growth in China’s CPI in February has sparked optimism among economists and policymakers. This growth can be attributed to various factors, including increased consumer spending during holidays, rising demand for certain goods and services, and government stimulus measures aimed at boosting consumption.

2: Implications of CPI Growth on China’s Economy
The rebound in consumer prices has significant implications for China’s economy. A positive CPI growth indicates a healthier level of inflation, which can stimulate economic activity by encouraging spending and investment. It also reflects improved consumer confidence and overall economic stability. However, it is essential to monitor the sustainability of this growth and its impact on other economic indicators.

3: Analyzing Deflation Risks in China’s Economy
Despite the encouraging CPI growth, there are concerns about deflation risks looming over China’s economy. The continuous decline in factory gate prices for the 17th consecutive month is seen as a warning signal by analysts. Deflation can have detrimental effects on an economy, leading to reduced consumer spending, lower corporate profits, and potential economic stagnation. Policymakers must address these deflation risks proactively to prevent long-term negative consequences.

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4: Factors Contributing to Deflation Risks
Several factors contribute to the deflation risks faced by China’s economy. Overcapacity in certain industries, weak global demand, trade tensions, and technological advancements leading to cost reductions are some of the key factors driving down factory gate prices. Addressing these underlying issues requires a comprehensive approach that involves structural reforms, targeted stimulus measures, and strategic policy interventions.

5: Strategies to Mitigate Deflation Risks
To mitigate deflation risks and sustain economic growth, policymakers in China need to implement effective strategies. These may include promoting domestic consumption through incentives and subsidies, fostering innovation and technological advancement to enhance competitiveness, addressing overcapacity through industry restructuring, and maintaining a stable macroeconomic environment through prudent monetary and fiscal policies.

Conclusion
China’s consumer price rebound offers a glimmer of hope amidst challenging economic conditions. While the CPI growth signals positive momentum in the short term, it is essential to address the underlying deflation risks to ensure long-term economic stability and growth. By understanding the factors contributing to CPI growth and deflation risks, policymakers can formulate targeted strategies to navigate these challenges effectively. Monitoring economic indicators closely and implementing proactive measures will be crucial in safeguarding China’s economy against potential downturns.

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