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China-India Stand-Off and the Emerging World Order

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The Recent showdown between  People’s Liberation Army and Indian Army has escalated the situation in Galwan valley along the  Line of Actual Control  (LAC) Between China and India. The unarmed fight resulted in the killing of 20 Indian Soldiers while the casualties on China side have not been confirmed yet.

The analysts link the fight with Indian Unilateral move on August 05 2019, when it annexed the disputed territory of  Jammu and Kashmir and Ladakh by repealing article 370. 

This move irked both Pakistan and china and both raised the issue at UNSC and UNGA and recorded their protest against such unilateral move that was tantamount to UN Security Council Resolutions that asked for holding a plebiscite in disputed  Jammu and Kashmir

Unfortunately, India has worst diplomatic relations with its neighbours such as Afghanistan, China, Pakistan, Nepal, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka. It has used all its resources to destabilize neighbouring states especially Pakistan, Nepal, Bangladesh and  Sri Lanka. 

The recent clash has serious repercussion after 40  years when both Nations clashed in 1962. The war clouds are looming as both Nations are preparing to engage in a full-scale war that might be disastrous for the whole region. So much so that  UK  Newspapers called it World War –III as two biggest South Asian Countries engaged in fighting that was a heavy blow to Fascist Modi who is the mastermind of Muslim Massacre and Genocide. 

Even linked  Covid-19 outbreak with Muslims, that showed his Hindutva mindset and stupidity. The Indian reaction to boycott Chinese Brands will cost the heavily economically as world economies are already fragile owing to two-month lockdown that has paralyzed the business and Trade and limited people to their houses.

Pakistan has been watching the emerging situation after  June 15 Clash between Chinese PLA and Indian Army, is ready to defend its frontiers as Forces put on Red Alert.

The high-level negotiations were held to deescalate the situation but all efforts of peacemaking have not produced positive results and Modi’s BJP is underfire internally since Congress has been posing hard questions as Chinese forces are present in areas claimed by India.

There are protests in Nepal against India as new released Map has reflected some disputed areas in India that have also sparked protests in Nepal. Though India still enjoys support from the US especially from President Donald Trump he is himself under pressure from Republicans owing to his failure to manage the pandemic and the cases are soaring each day.

America is worst affected by the pandemic with the maximum number of infections and deaths over one lac. India has also close relations with Israel and has purchased fighter jets and other war-related items.

ALSO READ :  Asia Cup 2023: Pakistan's Prospects in the Absence of India's Batting

The recent mysterious bomb blasts targeting Iran’s Nuclear Installations and army camps have raised serious questions on the state of Iran’s internal l security measures as well as it let everybody wondering that who was behind the attacks but Iran has blamed Israel for the blasts.

Though none has accepted the responsibility of attacks, Iran has alleged Israel as Israel is the soul of the US and may be involved in a bombing incident.

The conflict will expand in the Middle East and South Asia if Iran takes aggressive action against Israel and on the other hand  If China and India engage in a full-scale war

The situation is getting tougher and complicated day by as US has been struggling to tackle with the pandemic issue that has infected millions of American baffling  US President Donald to the extent that It power game is waning each passing day and Global influence is declining due to economic crisis and massive unemployment owing to the pandemic.

The pandemic has forced hundreds of companies to lay off staff as they could not afford to pay the salaries of Staff given the lockdowns imposed by various Governments in the world as well as the sense of uncertainty gripping the enterprises and startups.

Though the health companies, Pharma and Tech companies, online stores and markets are booming with profit the most profitable business, travel and Tour, entertainment and Hotel Business and wedding Party and Even management Companies have almost been closed for an indefinite period owing to the restrictions placed by the Governments to control the outbreak of Covid-19.

US being superpower has been weakened or jolted by the pandemic and gradually losing its hold on world Affairs. On the contrary, China has been regaining the control and even declared itself superpower of the world. The World order is constantly changing and china has put itself in a strong geostrategic position even in the time of Pandemic.

Recent China and Iran Pact have further paved the for the success of CPEC since  Iran may join CPEC to make its oil available to China, Pakistan and  Central Asian Muslim Countries.

The inclusion of Iran in CPEC may further Isolate  India in the region since it will be surrounded by all sides i.e. China, Pakistan, Afghanistan and Iran. Pakistan may play a leading role in the region since America has lost a sincere ally in South Asia.”

Pakistan Army and Civilian Leadership played a pivotal role peacemaking in Afghanistan by bringing the Taliban on the negotiation table and signing the deal with the US providing safe passage to US Troops Withdrawal.

ALSO READ :  Cristiano Ronaldo’s Binance Promotion: A Cryptocurrency Scandal That Shook the World

Turkey also emerging great power and may have a role in changing world order where US, UK may fade in history books as some international Policy Experts are of the view that Pandemic has provided a golden chance to countries like China to play a leading role as American hegemony has bitten the dust.

The upcoming  Presidential Elections will carve the future of America as Trump Administration has completely failed to manage and control Covid-19 and even put curbs on new Testing  Policy which is already under fire from his  Rival  Political  Party the  Democrats, especially the  Presidential Election Nominee  Joe Biden.

The November is just two months away and these  Presidential Elections will be both violent and historical since the African American will support Democrats as they are fed up with Trump over racist thoughts especially brutal Killing of  African American George Floyd that prompted worldwide  Protests against racism and Police  Brutalities. 

The  Recent deal between Israel and UAE inked with efforts  Donald Trump has irked both Arab and  Non Arab Nations as recognition of  Israel will have serious repercussions on the Muslim world

 Efforts are being made by Turkey, Iran, Pakistan to form a new  Block as Since  Independence  Pakistan has clear Policy that it will never recognize Israel until Establishment of  Palestine  State as per the wishes of  People of  Palestine.  

Pakistan is the only Islamic country in the world that has reflected on its Passport that it is valid for all countries except Israel sending a strong message that It will never recognize Israel as it is an occupant.

Though at the moment, Pakistan is under pressure from the US  to recognize Israel this will not happen any time soon. The statement of  Foreign Minister Shah Mehmood  Qureshi has escalated  Pak Saudi diplomatic relations as Qureshi criticized that  OIC has not adopted the strong stance on Kashmir Issue. Though  Army Chief along with ISI chief paid a visit to Saudi Arab to mend ways but Pakistan’s weak economic structure will compel it to bow down before Pressure.

China is playing on the front foot as it’s expedition inside  Indian Controlled areas is advancing rapidly the escalation is high. The weakened structure of the US has given birth to new regional powers carving new world order as the US is waning due to wrong policies of  Donald. The emerging situation is favouring China, Russia, Turkey, Iran and Pakistan.

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The Return of the Dragon’s Allure

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For much of the past four years, China’s equity markets have been a graveyard of foreign enthusiasm. International investors, once captivated by the promise of the world’s second-largest economy, retreated amid a property crisis, regulatory crackdowns, and geopolitical tensions. The narrative was one of caution, even resignation: China, many argued, had lost its luster. Yet markets are creatures of sentiment, and sentiment can pivot with startling speed. The recent surge of foreign inflows — the largest since 2021 — marks a turning point. The catalyst is not a stimulus package or a central bank maneuver, but a technological breakthrough that has jolted investors awake.

A Market Long in the Shadows

China’s stock market has endured a bruising half-decade. The collapse of property developers, most notably Evergrande, cast a long shadow over the economy. Regulatory interventions in tech — from e-commerce giants to private tutoring firms — rattled confidence. Foreign ownership of Chinese equities fell to multi-year lows, with MSCI China underperforming global peers by double digits. The Shanghai Composite stagnated, while capital fled to safer havens in the U.S. and Europe. For many, China became synonymous with risk rather than opportunity.

DeepSeek AI: A Shock to the System

Enter DeepSeek, a little-known Chinese AI lab that stunned the world with a breakthrough in generative intelligence. Its model, hailed as a leap beyond existing architectures, demonstrated capabilities that rivaled — and in some cases surpassed — Western counterparts. The symbolism was profound: Beijing was no longer playing catch-up in the AI race. Investors, fatigued by narratives of Chinese decline, suddenly saw evidence of innovation at scale. DeepSeek became shorthand for a broader truth — that China’s technological ecosystem remains formidable, underestimated, and capable of reshaping global competition.

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The breakthrough did more than impress engineers. It shifted investor psychology. AI is the defining growth story of this decade, and China now has a flagship to rival Silicon Valley. For foreign funds, the logic was simple: ignore China at your peril.

The Surge of Capital

The numbers tell the story. In October and November 2025, foreign investors poured over $25 billion into Chinese equities, the largest two-month inflow since 2021. The CSI 300 index rallied nearly 12% in the same period, while the MSCI China index outperformed emerging market peers for the first time in years. Tech and semiconductor stocks led the charge, with AI-linked firms posting double-digit gains. Even beleaguered consumer discretionary names saw renewed interest, buoyed by expectations that AI-driven productivity could lift broader growth.

The inflows were not indiscriminate. Capital targeted sectors aligned with innovation: cloud computing, chip design, robotics, and biotech. Foreign ownership of Chinese technology firms rose from 3.8% to 5.1% in just weeks, reversing years of decline. Hedge funds, sovereign wealth funds, and pension managers — long absent — returned with conviction.

Policy Signals and the State’s Hand

The surge was amplified by policy signals from Beijing. Regulators, chastened by the backlash to earlier crackdowns, have softened their tone. The government has rolled out tax incentives for AI firms, streamlined approval processes for foreign investors, and emphasized “predictability” in regulatory frameworks. The People’s Bank of China has kept liquidity ample, while fiscal authorities have hinted at targeted support for innovation hubs.

Macroeconomic indicators, though mixed, have offered reassurance. Industrial output rose 5.2% year-on-year in Q3, while exports stabilized after months of decline. Inflation remains subdued, giving policymakers room to maneuver. For investors, the message is clear: Beijing wants capital, and it is willing to accommodate.

Global Reverberations

The implications stretch far beyond China. Global capital allocation is being recalibrated. For years, emerging market flows were dominated by India, Brazil, and Southeast Asia, while China languished. The DeepSeek moment has reinserted China into the conversation. Asset managers are rebalancing portfolios, shifting weight back to Chinese equities at the expense of other emerging markets.

ALSO READ :  After Biden's move, Pakistan calls for complete release of Afghan central bank assets

The tech sector, too, feels the tremors. U.S. markets, long buoyed by AI enthusiasm, now face competition for investor dollars. DeepSeek’s breakthrough has rattled assumptions about American dominance in innovation. Europe, struggling to carve its own AI niche, watches uneasily as capital gravitates eastward. The geopolitical chessboard of technology is being redrawn, with investors as the pawns and beneficiaries alike.

Risks and Skepticism

Yet caution remains warranted. Transparency in Chinese firms is uneven, and corporate governance standards lag global norms. Geopolitical tensions — from U.S.-China trade disputes to Taiwan — could flare at any moment, disrupting flows. The AI sector itself is prone to hype; breakthroughs can dazzle but fail to commercialize. Investors must ask whether DeepSeek represents a sustainable trend or a singular anomaly.

Moreover, the property sector’s malaise has not vanished. Household debt remains high, and consumer confidence fragile. Foreign inflows, while impressive, are concentrated in a narrow band of sectors. A broader recovery in China’s equity market will require more than AI enthusiasm.

A Forward-Looking Thesis

Still, the return of foreign capital is significant. It challenges the prevailing wisdom that China is uninvestable, that its markets are permanently tainted by risk. DeepSeek has reminded the world that innovation is not the monopoly of Silicon Valley. For investors, the lesson is provocative: to bet against China is to bet against the possibility of surprise.

The surge of inflows may not herald a straight-line recovery. Volatility will persist, and skepticism will endure. But the turning point is undeniable. China has reasserted itself as a locus of technological ambition, and global capital has responded. The dragon, long subdued, has roared again — not through stimulus or decree, but through invention.

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The New Great Game: US Retreat vs. China Peace Diplomacy 🕊️

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In an era of shifting global influence, the foreign policy approaches of the world’s two largest powers—the United States (US) and China—present a stark geopolitical contrast. While the US, particularly under the previous administration, pursued a high-profile, rhetorical strategy centered on “ending wars” through large-scale troop withdrawals, China has quietly but effectively intensified its pragmatic regional diplomacy. This difference in style is more than just optics; it reflects fundamentally different calculations for projecting power and securing long-term interests, with China’s less-publicized mediation efforts increasingly challenging the established international order.

The central thesis here is that overt, maximalist actions, like those characterized by the US rhetoric of disengagement, often yield instability, while China’s “quiet diplomacy,” focused on localized conflict resolution, offers a more sustainable, high-effectiveness mechanism for projecting global influence. This article will critically analyze these two divergent paths.

The Rhetoric of Retreat: The US “Ending Wars” Approach 🇺🇸

The foreign policy under the Trump administration was defined by a popular but politically charged rhetoric of disengagement from costly, protracted conflicts, primarily in the Middle East. The promise to bring troops home and “end the forever wars” was a cornerstone of an “America First” agenda, appealing to a domestic audience weary of foreign entanglements.

Analysis of Effects and Motivations

While the intent—to reduce the military and financial burden of overseas operations—was clear, the execution was often abrupt, unilateral, and lacked coordination with allies or local partners. This approach, centered on large-scale troop withdrawals, frequently created immediate power vacuums and signaled a reduction in US commitment to regional stability.

The resulting instability, rather than achieving peace, undermined the US’s long-term goal of a secure global order, ceding influence without securing a decisive and stabilising diplomatic end state.

Quiet Power: China’s Pragmatic Regional Diplomacy 🇨🇳

In contrast to the US’s overt strategic withdrawals, China’s recent foreign policy in its immediate periphery has been marked by a strategy of quiet diplomacy and pragmatic, behind-the-scenes mediation. The core motivation is explicitly tied to stability—specifically, securing its borders, ensuring the safety of its massive Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) investments, and projecting influence as a constructive regional power rather than a belligerent one.

By adopting a non-confrontational, economically incentivized approach, China seeks to embed itself as an indispensable arbiter of regional peace, a crucial element of its overall China Peace Diplomacy.

China’s Mediation Drivers

  • BRI Security: Instability in neighboring states directly threatens key BRI infrastructure, such as pipelines, railways, and ports, vital for China’s economic future.
  • Border Management: Maintaining a peaceful periphery is paramount to securing China’s own internal stability and economic development in border provinces.
  • Geopolitical Influence: By successfully brokering de-escalation where the US and other global powers have been absent or ineffective, China subtly builds a reputation as a reliable, results-oriented alternative, strengthening its soft power across Asia.

Case Study 1: The Myanmar Border De-escalation 🏞️

The conflict between the Myanmar military (Tatmadaw) and various ethnic armed organizations (EAOs), particularly the escalation of clashes near the shared border, posed a direct threat to China. Stray artillery fire, like incidents near Yunnan Province, and the influx of tens of thousands of refugees, risked dragging China into a protracted instability.

Instead of a high-profile military intervention or public condemnation, China employed a calculated, multi-pronged approach:

  • Pressure and Mediation: Beijing leveraged its unique position as the primary economic partner and arms supplier to both the Myanmar government and, in some cases, certain EAOs. It applied direct diplomatic pressure on all parties to de-escalate, often hosting peace talks on Chinese soil (e.g., in Kunming) to achieve a ceasefire.
  • Border Management: At the same time, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) visibly reinforced its border security with air patrols and warnings to the Tatmadaw, demonstrating a resolve to protect its territory and nationals without full-scale intervention.
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This Myanmar Border Mediation was highly effective because it was interest-driven and pragmatic. It wasn’t about imposing a democratic or moral order, but about achieving a quick, localized stability essential for the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC).


Case Study 2: Facilitating the Cambodia-Thai Ceasefire 🤝

A less-publicized but equally significant example of China’s “quiet diplomacy” is its role in fostering stability between Cambodia and Thailand following flare-ups in their long-standing border disputes, notably around the Preah Vihear temple.

While ASEAN officially leads the efforts, China has played a constructive and supportive role in facilitating or supporting peace efforts:

  • Neutral Diplomatic Support: China engaged in diplomatic outreach to both Bangkok and Phnom Penh, utilizing its deep ties with both nations to urge restraint and encourage a return to bilateral mechanisms.
  • Economic Leverage: China is a massive economic partner to both countries. Its tacit support for de-escalation carries significant weight, as neither capital wishes to jeopardize crucial trade, investment, or military cooperation with Beijing.
  • Subtle Signaling: China’s provision of military and financial aid to Cambodia, while not a direct tool of the ceasefire itself, subtly signals its influence and ability to shape regional defense dynamics, making compliance with de-escalation a prudent choice for both parties. The result was a restoration of the Cambodia-Thai Ceasefire momentum without China ever taking the central, public stage.

The Geopolitical Contrast: High-Profile vs. High-Effectiveness ⚖️

The comparison between the US rhetoric of “ending wars” through overt troop withdrawals and China’s method of “peace diplomacy” through quiet, interest-aligned mediation is instructive:

FeatureUS Approach (“Ending Wars” Rhetoric)China’s Approach (China Peace Diplomacy)
VisibilityHigh-profile, maximalist, and publicQuiet, behind-the-scenes, and pragmatic
Primary GoalDomestic political appeal; reducing direct costRegional stability; safeguarding economic interests (BRI)
MechanismMilitary withdrawal; transactional alliancesDiplomatic leverage; economic inducement/pressure
Immediate OutcomeStrategic instability; creation of power vacuumsLocalized de-escalation; reinforcement of influence
Influence TypeHard power/Military presence (diminishing)Economic/Political/Soft Power (increasing)

Conclusion: Future Global Leadership and US vs China Foreign Policy

The divergent foreign policy paths—the US focused on dramatic withdrawal and the defense of a liberal order, and China focused on quiet, pragmatic stability in its sphere of influence—will shape the future of global leadership.

China’s increasing engagement in regional conflict resolution is a crucial component of its broader strategic narrative, positioning itself as a responsible, development-focused great power. Its success in Myanmar Border Mediation and supporting the Cambodia-Thai Ceasefire demonstrates that global influence is increasingly projected not only through overt military strength but also through the effective, quiet application of economic and diplomatic leverage. For the non-partisan think tank community, the key takeaway is that the new challenge to Western-led stability is not solely military; it is a direct competition in the realm of effective statecraft. As the US struggles to find a consistent global posture, China’s model of Quiet Diplomacy provides a powerful counter-narrative, suggesting that localized, pragmatic peace is a more sustainable, if self-interested, basis for global influence than the costly, high-profile rhetoric of retreat.

Would you like a comparative analysis of their respective strategies in a different region, such as Africa or Latin America?

In an era of shifting global influence, the foreign policy approaches of the world’s two largest powers—the United States (US) and China—present a stark geopolitical contrast. While the US, particularly under the previous administration, pursued a high-profile, rhetorical strategy centered on “ending wars” through large-scale troop withdrawals, China has quietly but effectively intensified its pragmatic regional diplomacy. This difference in style is more than just optics; it reflects fundamentally different calculations for projecting power and securing long-term interests, with China’s less-publicized mediation efforts increasingly challenging the established international order.

The central thesis here is that overt, maximalist actions, like those characterized by the US rhetoric of disengagement, often yield instability, while China’s “quiet diplomacy,” focused on localized conflict resolution, offers a more sustainable, high-effectiveness mechanism for projecting global influence. This article will critically analyze these two divergent paths.

The Rhetoric of Retreat: The US “Ending Wars” Approach 🇺🇸

The foreign policy under the Trump administration was defined by a popular but politically charged rhetoric of disengagement from costly, protracted conflicts, primarily in the Middle East. The promise to bring troops home and “end the forever wars” was a cornerstone of an “America First” agenda, appealing to a domestic audience weary of foreign entanglements.

ALSO READ :  Asia Cup 2023: Pakistan's Prospects in the Absence of India's Batting

Analysis of Effects and Motivations

While the intent—to reduce the military and financial burden of overseas operations—was clear, the execution was often abrupt, unilateral, and lacked coordination with allies or local partners. This approach, centered on large-scale troop withdrawals, frequently created immediate power vacuums and signaled a reduction in US commitment to regional stability.

Critical Conclusion: The high-profile US action of “retreat” often produced a strategic instability. By prioritizing the rhetoric of withdrawal over a meticulously managed, diplomatically cushioned exit, the US approach inadvertently created space for adversaries and regional competitors to fill the void, ultimately complicating future diplomatic or military interventions. This transactional, withdrawal-first policy represented a fundamental shift away from decades of sustained liberal internationalism.

The resulting instability, rather than peace, undermined the US’s long-term goal of a secure global order, ceding influence without achieving a decisive, stabilizing diplomatic end state.

Quiet Power: China’s Pragmatic Regional Diplomacy 🇨🇳

In contrast to the US’s overt strategic withdrawals, China’s recent foreign policy in its immediate periphery has been marked by a strategy of quiet diplomacy and pragmatic, behind-the-scenes mediation. The core motivation is explicitly tied to stability—specifically, securing its borders, ensuring the safety of its massive Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) investments, and projecting influence as a constructive regional power rather than a belligerent one.

By adopting a non-confrontational, economically incentivised approach, China seeks to embed itself as an indispensable arbiter of regional peace, a crucial element of its overall China Peace Diplomacy.

China’s Mediation Drivers

  • BRI Security: Instability in neighboring states directly threatens key BRI infrastructure, such as pipelines, railways, and ports, vital for China’s economic future.
  • Border Management: Maintaining a peaceful periphery is paramount to securing China’s own internal stability and economic development in border provinces.
  • Geopolitical Influence: By successfully brokering de-escalation where the US and other global powers have been absent or ineffective, China subtly builds a reputation as a reliable, results-oriented alternative, strengthening its soft power across Asia.

Case Study 1: The Myanmar Border De-escalation 🏞️

The conflict between the Myanmar military (Tatmadaw) and various ethnic armed organisations (EAOs), particularly the escalation of clashes near the shared border, posed a direct threat to China. Stray artillery fire, like incidents near Yunnan Province, and the influx of tens of thousands of refugees, risked dragging China into a protracted instability.

Instead of a high-profile military intervention or public condemnation, China employed a calculated, multi-pronged approach:

  • Pressure and Mediation: Beijing leveraged its unique position as the primary economic partner and arms supplier to both the Myanmar government and, in some cases, certain EAOs. It applied direct diplomatic pressure on all parties to de-escalate, often hosting peace talks on Chinese soil (e.g., in Kunming) to achieve a ceasefire.
  • Border Management: At the same time, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) visibly reinforced its border security with air patrols and warnings to the Tatmadaw, demonstrating a resolve to protect its territory and nationals without full-scale intervention.

This Myanmar Border Mediation was highly effective because it was interest-driven and pragmatic. It wasn’t about imposing a democratic or moral order, but about achieving a quick, localized stability essential for the China-Myanmar Economic Corridor (CMEC).


Case Study 2: Facilitating the Cambodia-Thai Ceasefire 🤝

A less-publicized but equally significant example of China’s “quiet diplomacy” is its role in fostering stability between Cambodia and Thailand following flare-ups in their long-standing border disputes, notably around the Preah Vihear temple.

While ASEAN officially leads the efforts, China has played a constructive and supportive role in facilitating or supporting peace efforts:

  • Neutral Diplomatic Support: China engaged in diplomatic outreach to both Bangkok and Phnom Penh, utilizing its deep ties with both nations to urge restraint and encourage a return to bilateral mechanisms.
  • Economic Leverage: China is a massive economic partner to both countries. Its tacit support for de-escalation carries significant weight, as neither capital wishes to jeopardize crucial trade, investment, or military cooperation with Beijing.
  • Subtle Signaling: China’s provision of military and financial aid to Cambodia, while not a direct tool of the ceasefire itself, subtly signals its influence and ability to shape regional defense dynamics, making compliance with de-escalation a prudent choice for both parties. The result was a restoration of the Cambodia-Thai Ceasefire momentum without China ever taking the central, public stage.

The Geopolitical Contrast: High-Profile vs. High-Effectiveness ⚖️

The comparison between the US rhetoric of “ending wars” through overt troop withdrawals and China’s method of “peace diplomacy” through quiet, interest-aligned mediation is instructive:

FeatureUS Approach (“Ending Wars” Rhetoric)China’s Approach (China Peace Diplomacy)
VisibilityHigh-profile, maximalist, and publicQuiet, behind-the-scenes, and pragmatic
Primary GoalDomestic political appeal; reducing direct costRegional stability; safeguarding economic interests (BRI)
MechanismMilitary withdrawal; transactional alliancesDiplomatic leverage; economic inducement/pressure
Immediate OutcomeStrategic instability; creation of power vacuumsLocalized de-escalation; reinforcement of influence
Influence TypeHard power/Military presence (diminishing)Economic/Political/Soft Power (increasing)

Conclusion: Future Global Leadership and US vs China Foreign Policy

The divergent foreign policy paths—the US focused on dramatic withdrawal and the defense of a liberal order, and China focused on quiet, pragmatic stability in its sphere of influence—will shape the future of global leadership.

China’s increasing engagement in regional conflict resolution is a crucial component of its broader strategic narrative, positioning itself as a responsible, development-focused great power. Its success in Myanmar Border Mediation and supporting the Cambodia-Thai Ceasefire demonstrates that global influence is increasingly projected not only through overt military strength but also through the effective, quiet application of economic and diplomatic leverage. For the non-partisan think tank community, the key takeaway is that the new challenge to Western-led stability is not solely military; it is a direct competition in the realm of effective statecraft. As the US struggles to find a consistent global posture, China’s model of Quiet Diplomacy provides a powerful counter-narrative, suggesting that localized, pragmatic peace is a more sustainable, if self-interested, basis for global influence than the costly, high-profile rhetoric of retreat.

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The Battle Over TikTok: Can the Company Fight Back?

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pexels-photo-5081920.jpeg

The battle over TikTok has raged for months as the United States government has grown increasingly concerned about the potential security risks posed by the popular social media app’s Chinese ownership. In August 2020, President Trump signed an executive order that would have banned TikTok in the US unless its ownership was transferred to an American company. A federal judge later blocked the order, but the threat of a ban has loomed over the app ever since.

A tense standoff in Congress as lawmakers debate the fate of TikTok, with the app's Chinese owner at the center of the controversy

Recently, the US Congress took a first step towards forcing TikTok’s Chinese owner, ByteDance, to sell the app. The move came in the form of the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act, which was signed into law in December 2020. The law requires foreign companies listed on US stock exchanges to comply with US auditing regulations or face delisting. ByteDance is currently in the process of exploring options to comply with the law, including a possible sale of TikTok to a US buyer.

Key Takeaways

  • The US government has been concerned about the security risks posed by TikTok’s Chinese ownership, and the threat of a ban has loomed over the app for months.
  • The Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act requires foreign companies listed on US stock exchanges to comply with US auditing regulations or face delisting, which could force ByteDance to sell TikTok to a US buyer.
  • The battle over TikTok highlights the economic and political stakes of technology ownership and raises important questions about legislative actions and corporate responses to national security concerns.

Legislative Actions

US Congress passed a bill targeting TikTok's Chinese owner. The scene shows lawmakers debating and voting on the legislation

The battle over TikTok has led to a series of legislative actions by the US Congress. In August 2020, Congress took the first step towards forcing the app’s Chinese owner, ByteDance, to divest TikTok’s US operations to a US-based company. This was in response to concerns over national security and the potential for user data to be accessed by the Chinese government.

Congressional Steps Toward Divestment

The divestment order was issued by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS), a government agency responsible for reviewing foreign investment in US companies. This order required ByteDance to sell TikTok’s US operations within 90 days, or face a ban on the app in the US.

In response, ByteDance filed a lawsuit challenging the divestment order, arguing that it was not given due process and that the order was politically motivated. However, the lawsuit was dismissed by a federal judge in December 2020.

Legal Implications

The battle over TikTok has raised important legal questions about the relationship between national security and foreign investment in the US. The divestment order issued by CFIUS was based on concerns over national security, but it is unclear whether such concerns can be used to justify forcing a foreign company to sell its US operations.

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Moreover, the battle over TikTok has highlighted the challenges of regulating social media platforms that are owned by foreign companies. TikTok’s Chinese ownership has raised concerns over the potential for user data to be accessed by the Chinese government, leading to calls for greater regulation of social media platforms.

Overall, the battle over TikTok has demonstrated the complex legal and regulatory challenges posed by foreign investment in the US, particularly in the technology sector. While Congress has taken steps towards divesting TikTok’s US operations, the legal implications of such actions remain unclear.

Corporate Response

US Congress confronts TikTok's Chinese owner in a corporate showdown

Company’s Defense Strategy

TikTok’s Chinese owner, ByteDance, has vowed to fight back against the US Congress’s decision to force it to sell off the app’s US operations. The company is reportedly considering several options to defend itself, including legal action, lobbying efforts, and potential partnerships with US companies.

ByteDance has argued that the move by Congress is politically motivated and violates the company’s rights. The company has also emphasized that TikTok’s US user data is stored in the US and is not subject to Chinese government control.

To bolster its defence, ByteDance has hired a team of high-profile lawyers, including former US Solicitor General Theodore Olson. The company is also reportedly exploring potential partnerships with US companies, such as Microsoft, to help address concerns about data security.

Public Relations Efforts

In addition to its legal and lobbying efforts, ByteDance has launched a public relations campaign to defend the app and its Chinese ownership. The company has emphasized TikTok’s popularity and cultural impact, highlighting its role in promoting diversity and creativity.

ByteDance has also sought to distance itself from the Chinese government, emphasizing that it operates independently and is not subject to Chinese censorship laws. The company has also emphasized its commitment to data privacy and security, noting that it stores user data in the US and other countries outside of China.

Despite these efforts, ByteDance faces an uphill battle to defend TikTok’s US operations. The company will need to address concerns about data security and potential Chinese government influence, while also convincing US lawmakers and regulators that it can operate independently and in the best interests of US users.

Economic and Political Stakes

US Congress debates TikTok's fate, symbolized by a scale weighing economic and political stakes

The battle over TikTok has major economic and political implications for both the United States and China. With more than 91 million users in the US alone, TikTok has become a significant player in the social media landscape, and its popularity has made it a target of concern for US lawmakers. The recent moves by the US Congress to force the app’s Chinese owner to sell it off have raised questions about the future of the app and its impact on US-China relations.

Impact on US-China Relations

The battle over TikTok has the potential to further strain already tense relations between the US and China. The Trump administration has been vocal in its criticism of China, and the move to force the sale of TikTok is just the latest in a series of actions taken against Chinese companies. The Chinese government has responded with its own set of measures, including new restrictions on US tech companies operating in China.

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The ongoing battle over TikTok has also highlighted concerns about data privacy and security. US lawmakers have raised concerns about the app’s data collection practices and the potential for the Chinese government to access user data. China has denied any wrongdoing and has accused the US of using national security concerns as a pretext for protectionism.

Consequences for Global Markets

The battle over TikTok has wider implications for global markets. The app’s popularity has made it a significant player in the social media landscape, and its forced sale could have ripple effects on the tech industry as a whole. The move could also have implications for other Chinese companies operating in the US, and could lead to a wider crackdown on Chinese investment in the US.

The battle over TikTok is likely to continue for some time, and the outcome is far from certain. However, the economic and political stakes are high, and the impact of the battle could be felt for years to come.

Frequently Asked Questions

US Congress confronts TikTok's Chinese owner in a battle

What is the rationale behind the US Congress’s move to force a sale of TikTok?

The US Congress has expressed concerns about the potential national security risks posed by TikTok’s ownership by Chinese company ByteDance. Lawmakers have cited fears that TikTok’s data collection practices may be used by the Chinese government to gather sensitive information on US citizens. The move to force a sale of TikTok is seen as a way to mitigate these risks.

What is the status of the legislation aimed at banning TikTok?

As of the current date, no legislation has been passed to ban TikTok in the US. However, the US Department of Commerce has taken steps to restrict the app’s use in the country. In September 2020, the Department announced that it would ban TikTok from US app stores, though this decision was later temporarily blocked by a federal judge.

How might TikTok’s ownership respond to the US legislative actions?

TikTok’s ownership has previously pushed back against US legislative actions aimed at restricting the app’s use. The company has argued that it operates independently of the Chinese government and has taken steps to distance itself from its Chinese roots, including hiring US-based executives and establishing a US-based subsidiary. However, it remains to be seen how the company will respond to the latest legislative actions aimed at forcing a sale of the app.

What are the potential consequences for users if TikTok is banned in the US?

If TikTok is banned in the US, users may lose access to the app’s social media features, including the ability to create and share short-form videos. However, it is worth noting that TikTok’s popularity has led to the emergence of several alternative social media apps that offer similar features, such as Instagram’s Reels and Byte, which was created by the co-founder of Vine.

Has any legislation been passed to date regarding the prohibition of TikTok?

As of the current date, no legislation has been passed to prohibit the use of TikTok in the US. However, the US government has taken steps to restrict the app’s use, including the aforementioned ban on TikTok in US app stores.

Which other countries have taken steps to ban or restrict TikTok?

Several other countries, including India and Pakistan, have taken steps to ban or restrict TikTok over concerns about national security and user privacy. In India, TikTok was banned in June 2020, along with several other Chinese-owned apps. In Pakistan, the government has announced plans to ban TikTok unless the app takes steps to address concerns about “obscenity and immorality.”

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