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Russia Turns to Africa for Trade Amid US, EU Sanctions

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As United States and European sanctions broaden due to special military operation, largely directed at demilitarization and denazification in Ukraine, Russians are now diversifying both exports and imports in Africa’s direction. After the first summit held 2019 in Sochi where a mountain of pledges incorporated in a joint declaration, but have not been given serious attention as expected.

Russia and Ukraine share common border, both are former Soviet republics struggling to move unto the global stage. Russia was angered because Ukraine’s ambition to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and the European Union. With the conflict that began February 24, and amid Western and European sanctions, Russia plans to expand its network of trade missions in Africa, according to Vladimir Padalko, Vice President of the Russian Chamber of Commerce and Industry.

The meeting held March 4 at the Russian Chamber of Commerce and Industry building was really to re-examine how import-export trade be intensified and map out possible support for Russian enterprises and organizations in entering the African market, in practical terms, for mutually beneficial support and benefits in the light of Russia-Ukraine crisis. State support and business facilitation have been on the agenda these several years, and was exhaustively discussed during a panel session in Sochi.

“During the meeting, the participants voiced a proposal to expand the network of trade missions in Africa in the countries, which are priority for trade. It was agreed that the Industry and Trade Ministry would work on this issue together with the Foreign Ministry and the Economic Development Ministry,” Padalko said.

According to official reports, the popular Russian perception is that Africa is a promising market for Russia and information data obtained from the Industry and Trade Ministry, Russia has only four trade missions in Africa – in Morocco, Algeria, Egypt and South Africa. In addition, several interviews and research indicated that the Russian expert community advocates for strengthening business relations with Africa, and for example sees fruits, tea, coffee from the EU countries can be replaced with products from African countries.

Deputy Director of the Department of Asia, Africa and Latin America of the Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation, Alexander Dianov, spoke about the non-financial support measures for Russian companies operating within the department.

On the other hand, he said: “There are trade missions only in four African countries, and if you take sub-Saharan African countries, the trade mission operates effectively only in South Africa. It is obvious that there is something to work on in terms of developing the infrastructure to support Russian businesses. If there is a serious request from the business community, we are ready to expand the geography of our presence.”

Senator Igor Morozov, Head of the Coordinating Committee on Economic Cooperation with Africa (AfroCom), business lobbying group established back in 2009, expressed his views posted to the website: “It is impossible to grow the national economy without developing new markets. Only more than 20 companies are working on raw materials projects in different parts of the continent, there are traditional deliveries through the military-technical cooperation, export of grain, mineral fertilizers, oil products with a total turnover of US$17 billion (2020)!”

Morozov argued that “it is necessary to involve large-scale involvement of small and medium-sized businesses from the Russian regions in the African direction. It is necessary to reconsider the entire range of the export potential of the regional economy: the transport industry, agricultural machinery and units, mechanical engineering and navigation equipment, the mining sector, water treatment, and information technology.”

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According to his interpretation, the geopolitical situation is rapidly changing and especially in such desperate condition of sanctions pressure, the outlook for new markets, new partners and allies are important for Russia. “This predetermines the return of Russia to Africa, makes this direction a priority both from the point of view of geopolitical influence, and in the trade and economic context. It is important for us to expand and improve competitive government support instruments for business. It is obvious that over the thirty years Russia left Africa. There are foreign players such as China, India, the United States and the European Union that have significantly increased their investment opportunities,” Morozov stressed.

Africa is one of the most promising and fastest-growing regions of the world, with leading powers actively competing with one another, the Senator further frankly acknowledged, and added that there is nothing surprising in the fact that the European Union is increasing its trade turnover with African countries, and it amounts to more than US$300 billion a year. For instance, the United States, implementing the Prosper Africa Programme, continues to push American investments and high-tech products to priority African markets.

In this regard, in order to promote Russian goods, it is necessary to create conditions that would be competitive for exporters. It is obvious that the Russian Export Center (REC) does not have a direct investment fund in the system of financing African projects. Successful practice in Africa clearly demonstrates the widespread use of such funds by China, India, France and many other players.

Russian Export Center says despite the emerging challenges the market is potentially the largest, Africa – is the continent of the future, but currently, the demand is generally limited. Speaking about Africa, there is the need to distinguish the countries of the continent into two groups: the northern and southern parts.

“We note an increase in the number of requests to find a Russian supplier from sub-Saharan Africa. Companies from such countries as South Africa, Nigeria, Ivory Coast, Ghana, Ethiopia, Tanzania, and Benin are most interested in increasing imports. We frequently receive requests to search for suppliers in such industries as mineral fertilizers, food products and the rest,” explains an official from Russian Export Center.

In such Russia-Ukraine paradigm, Russian enterprises and importers still need to understand a set of priority problems and barriers, especially now when showing searching for alternatives for European suppliers, and interested in establishing stable long-term with African partners.

Polina Slyusarchuk, Head of Intexpertise (St. Petersburg-based African focused Consultancy Group), has questioned whether Russia has a long-term strategy in there. “Today, Russia wants to deepen its understanding of the business climate and explore trade and partnership opportunities in Africa. Now at this critical time, Russians have to decide what they can offer that foreign players haven’t yet been made available in the African market in exchange for needed importable consumables,” she underscored.

The Maghreb region is an important gateway to Europe and to sub-Saharan Africa. In the past few years, Russian companies have taken active steps to increase both imports and exports of agricultural products. South Africa, Kenya, Morocco and a few others have been delivering fruits, described as marginal quality though, in the Russian market.

In an interview discussion for this article, Dr. Chtatou Mohamed, a senior professor of Middle Eastern politics at the International University of Rabat, emphasized that, on the geo-economic level, the five Arab countries present themselves as an unavoidable interface to enter the African continent, these are rich in raw materials and present as the great consumer market.

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“While the context between Russia and Western countries is highly troubled, and characterized in particular by a regime of sanctions and counter-sanctions, it is to better serve the interests of their peoples and find solutions by exploiting the opportunities. Moscow has more room for turn round export-import business with the countries of sub-Saharan Africa,” he pointed out.

Currently the geopolitical relations of most Mediterranean Arab countries with Russia are good, even for those who were allies of the United States during the period of world bipolarity along the years of the Cold War (the case of Egypt and from Morocco).

Members of African diplomatic missions informed the greatly unrealized potential of cooperation between Russia and African countries, and interest in attracting investments in agro-industry infrastructure, education and many other sectors, and unreservedly called for a wider interaction between African business circles and Russian businesses.

During the early March discussion, the participants mentioned high import duties, complicated certification procedures, high cost of products, expensive logistics, security and guarantee issues, and information vacuum as some of the barriers to Russian-African trade and economic cooperation. As always, the participants agreed on the need to develop a comprehensive strategy for Russia to work with Africa.

Indeed, Russia is already one of the ten largest food suppliers to Africa. Removing barriers could help export-import collaboration reach an entirely new level. Russian and African business communities lack of awareness regarding the current state of markets, along with trade and investment opportunities. There is an insufficient level of trust towards potential partners. These issues swiftly have to be resolved through establishing an effective system of communication to guarantee their reliability and integrity between public business associations in Russia and Africa.

In the meanwhile, Russian President Vladimir Putin has ordered to restrict or prohibit import and export of certain products and raw materials from Russia in 2022, according to the decree on special foreign economic measures aimed to ensure Russia’s security.

“Ensure implementation of the following special economic measures until December 31, 2022: export and import ban of products and/or raw materials in accordance with lists to be defined by the government of the Russian Federation,” the document says, adding that a separate list will define goods, whose export and import will be restricted. The decree becomes necessary in order to ensure Russia’s security and uninterrupted operation of agriculture and industry.

On March 9, Putin and his Senegalese counterpart, Chair of the African Union, President Macky Sall held a telephone conversation to discuss the situation covering Russia’s special military operation to protect Donbass and the development of ties between Moscow and Africa.

“At the request of President Sall, Vladimir Putin informed him on the main aspects of the special military operation to protect the breakaway republics with an emphasis on the humanitarian element. In particular, it was stressed that Russian military personnel take every possible measure to safely evacuate foreign citizens,” the Kremlin press service said in a statement circulated after the conversation.

The Kremlin further stressed that the leaders confirmed the importance of the consistent implementation of the agreements reached at the first Russia-Africa summit in Sochi in 2019 and the further development of diverse ties in various economic spheres between Russia and African countries.

According to the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, the preparations for the Russia-Africa summit are in the active stage. The dates of the summit have not been determined yet. The first Russia-Africa summit took place in October 2019, and it was co-chaired by Russian and Egyptian Presidents, Vladimir Putin and Abdel Fattah el-Sisi. The next summit scheduled for autumn 2022.

Via ModernDiplomacy

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Analysis

Greece and Spain urged to donate air defence systems to Ukraine

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EU leaders are urging Greece and Spain to provide Ukraine with air defence systems as Kyiv’s need is greater than theirs. This is in response to Kyiv’s urgent appeal to Western allies to provide seven additional air defence systems as reported by the Financial Times. Germany is the only country that has announced the supply of an additional Patriot system.

The pressure on Greece and Spain from their EU and NATO allies to provide more air defence systems to Ukraine is increasing. The urgency to enhance Ukraine’s air defence system comes after President Zelenskyy took a jab at Western allies’ “flagging political support” in the face of Russian aggression. The EU’s 27 leaders face mounting pressure to step up efforts to protect Ukraine’s skies from Russian airstrikes.

EU’s Call for Defence Aid to Ukraine

The European Union (EU) is putting pressure on Greece and Spain to provide Ukraine with air defence systems. The EU hopes that Athens and Madrid will donate a shipment of air defence systems to Kyiv, whose need is greater than theirs.

Athens and Madrid’s Potential Contributions

According to the Financial Times, Greece and Spain are under intense pressure from their EU and NATO allies to provide more air defence systems to Ukraine. The EU and its member states have already mobilised €33.1 billion in military support for Ukraine, including €11.1 billion under the European Peace Facility. However, EU leaders believe that Athens and Madrid can do more to help Ukraine defend itself against potential Russian airstrikes.

Kyiv’s Urgent Need for Air Defence

Ukraine has been facing a military threat from Russia since 2014, when Moscow annexed Crimea and supported separatists in eastern Ukraine. The conflict has killed more than 13,000 people and displaced millions. Ukraine’s President, Volodymyr Zelensky, has been urging the EU to provide more military and economic aid to his country. He has also been calling on Athens and Madrid to donate air defence systems to Ukraine.

In conclusion, the EU’s call for defence aid to Ukraine is a clear indication of the bloc’s commitment to support Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity. The EU hopes that Athens and Madrid will respond to its call and donate air defence systems to Kyiv.

Military Analysis

Comparison of Defence Capabilities

Ukraine has been in a state of conflict with Russia since 2014, and the country is in dire need of air defence systems to protect its cities and infrastructure. Greece and Spain have been urged by their EU and NATO allies to donate air defence systems to Ukraine, as their need is greater than Greece and Spain’s.

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Greece and Spain have modern air defence systems, including the Patriot and SAMP/T, respectively. Ukraine, on the other hand, has an outdated air defence system that is no match for Russia’s modern air force. The donation of air defence systems from Greece and Spain would significantly enhance Ukraine’s defence capabilities and deter Russia’s aggression in the region.

Impact on Greece and Spain’s Security

The donation of air defence systems to Ukraine would have a minimal impact on Greece and Spain’s security. Both countries have modern air defence systems, and the donation of a few systems would not significantly impact their defence capabilities. Furthermore, the donation would strengthen their relations with their EU and NATO allies, which is crucial in the current geopolitical climate.

It is worth noting that the donation of air defence systems to Ukraine could potentially strain Greece and Spain’s relations with Russia. However, given the current state of conflict between Ukraine and Russia, it is essential for Greece and Spain to prioritise their alliances with their EU and NATO allies and support Ukraine’s defence capabilities.

In conclusion, the donation of air defence systems to Ukraine by Greece and Spain would significantly enhance Ukraine’s defence capabilities and deter Russia’s aggression in the region. The donation would have a minimal impact on Greece and Spain’s security and would strengthen their relations with their EU and NATO allies.

Political Implications

EU Solidarity and Strategic Interests

The pressure on Greece and Spain to provide air defence systems to Ukraine highlights the EU’s solidarity with a country that has been facing territorial aggression from Russia. The EU’s strategic interests in Ukraine include the promotion of democracy, human rights, and the rule of law. The EU has been providing financial and technical assistance to Ukraine since the 2014 Maidan Revolution. The EU’s support for Ukraine has also been an important factor in the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia.

Bilateral Relations with Ukraine

The EU’s pressure on Greece and Spain to provide air defence systems to Ukraine also reflects the importance of bilateral relations between the EU and Ukraine. The EU’s Eastern Partnership policy aims to strengthen relations with six Eastern European countries, including Ukraine. The EU has signed an Association Agreement with Ukraine, which includes a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area, and a visa-free travel regime for Ukrainian citizens. The EU has also been supporting Ukraine’s reform efforts in areas such as the judiciary, public administration, and energy sector.

Greece and Spain’s donation of air defence systems to Ukraine would not only enhance Ukraine’s defence capabilities but also strengthen the EU’s relations with Ukraine. It would also send a strong message to Russia that the EU stands with Ukraine in the face of territorial aggression.

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Logistical Challenges

Transport and Delivery of Systems

The transport and delivery of air defence systems from Greece and Spain to Ukraine pose logistical challenges due to the distance between the countries. The systems, which include Patriot and S-300 missile batteries, are bulky and require specialised transport vehicles. The transport process must also adhere to strict regulations and safety standards to ensure that the systems are not damaged during transit.

Integration into Ukrainian Defence

Once the air defence systems are delivered to Ukraine, they must be integrated into the country’s existing defence infrastructure. This process involves training Ukrainian personnel on how to operate the systems, as well as ensuring that the systems are compatible with Ukraine’s existing defence technology. Integration can be a time-consuming process, as it requires coordination between multiple agencies and personnel.

To address these challenges, EU leaders have urged Greece and Spain to expedite the shipment of air defence systems to Ukraine. The urgency is due to Kyiv’s greater need for air defence systems to protect its cities from potential Russian aggression. Despite the logistical challenges, both Greece and Spain have expressed their commitment to providing aid to Ukraine.

Public and International Response

Domestic Opinions in Greece and Spain

The pressure on Greece and Spain to provide Ukraine with air defence systems has sparked mixed reactions in the two countries. In Greece, there is a sense of reluctance to donate the systems, with some arguing that the country has its own security concerns to address. Meanwhile, in Spain, there is a growing sense of frustration at the EU’s demands, with many questioning why their country should be the one to provide the systems.

Despite these opinions, both countries have publicly expressed their willingness to help Ukraine. Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis and his Spanish counterpart Pedro Sanchez have both stated that they are open to donating the systems, provided that certain conditions are met.

Global Perspective on EU’s Defence Support

The EU’s push for Greece and Spain to donate air defence systems to Ukraine has been met with mixed reactions from the international community. While some countries have expressed support for the move, others have raised concerns about the potential impact on regional stability.

The United States has been one of the most vocal supporters of the EU’s efforts, with President Joe Biden calling on Greece and Spain to “step up and provide the assistance that Ukraine needs”. Other NATO allies have also expressed support for the move, with many arguing that it is necessary to counter the threat posed by Russia.

However, some countries have raised concerns about the potential impact on regional stability. Russia has warned that any move to provide Ukraine with advanced weapons could lead to a dangerous escalation of the conflict, while China has called on all parties to exercise restraint and avoid actions that could lead to further instability in the region.

Overall, the international response to the EU’s push for Greece and Spain to donate air defence systems to Ukraine has been mixed, with some countries expressing support and others raising concerns about the potential impact on regional stability.

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IT & Telecom

SoftBank to Spend $960m on Boosting Computing Power for Generative AI

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Japanese telecom company SoftBank is investing 150 billion yen ($960 million) by 2025 to give its computing facilities the number-crunching power needed to develop world-class generative artificial intelligence. SoftBank aims to develop a Japanese-language-specific generative AI with world-class performance and hopes that the investment will help it achieve this goal. The company plans to purchase graphics processing units (GPUs) from U.S. chip designer Nvidia, which will not only be used for SoftBank’s development of generative AI but will also be loaned to other companies.

SoftBank invests $960m in AI computing power. Servers hum with activity, cables snake through the room, and screens display complex algorithms

The investment in computing infrastructure is believed to be the largest of any Japanese company. SoftBank is currently developing a large language model (LLM), which serves as the basis for generative AI. The company expects to complete development of a model with 390 billion parameters in fiscal 2024, and will start developing a high-performance model with 1 trillion parameters as early as next year. This 1 trillion-parameter model is a de facto benchmark for world-class performance, and is expected to help SoftBank achieve its goal of developing world-class generative AI.

Generative AI is becoming increasingly important in various industries, and the Japanese generative AI market is expected to grow to around $13 billion by 2030, according to the latest forecast by Statista. SoftBank’s move to create its own AI has been well-received by investors, with the company’s share price hitting a record high in late March. Although U.S. tech companies currently lead in terms of both performance and investment, SoftBank’s investment in computing infrastructure is likely to put it among the highest in Japan and help it catch up with its competitors.

SoftBank’s Strategic Investment

SoftBank invests $960m in AI computing power. Illustrate data centers and futuristic technology

Japanese telecom company SoftBank has announced its plan to invest 150 billion yen ($960 million) by 2025 to enhance its computing facilities for developing world-class generative artificial intelligence models. This investment is believed to be the largest of any Japanese company in computing infrastructure.

Financial Commitment

Last year, SoftBank invested 20 billion yen in building its computing infrastructure. The additional investment of 150 billion yen will be spent this year and next. The company is confident that the investment will give it the necessary number crunching power to develop a Japanese-language-specific generative AI with world-class performance.

Infrastructure Enhancement

SoftBank’s computing power is expected to be among the highest in Japan when the investment is completed. The company is currently developing a large language model (LLM), which will serve as the basis for its generative AI. The telecom company expects to complete development of a model with 390 billion parameters in fiscal 2024 and will start developing a high-performance model with 1 trillion parameters as early as next year.

GPU Acquisition from Nvidia

SoftBank will purchase graphics processing units (GPUs) from U.S. chip designer Nvidia. The GPUs will not only be used for the company’s own development of generative AI but will also be loaned to other companies. The company hopes that the acquisition of Nvidia chips will help it develop top models.

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The stock market is responding positively to SoftBank’s move to create its own AI. Investors are betting that generative AI will be good for business. According to the latest forecast by Statista, the Japanese generative AI market is expected to grow to around $13 billion by 2030, which is 17 times larger than in 2023.

While U.S. tech companies such as Open AI are currently ahead in terms of both performance and investment, Japanese companies, including NTT and NEC, have entered the market. However, the number of parameters in their models runs from several billion to several tens of billions. SoftBank is determined to develop world-class generative AI and hopes to achieve this through its strategic investment in computing infrastructure.

Development of Generative AI

SoftBank invests $960m in AI computing power. Servers hum with activity as data is processed. The company aims to advance generative AI technology

Language-Specific AI Focus

SoftBank is investing 150 billion yen ($960 million) to develop world-class generative artificial intelligence (AI) with a Japanese-language-specific focus. The company aims to boost its computing facilities’ number-crunching power, which is expected to be among the highest in Japan when the investment is completed by 2025.

The company is currently developing a large language model (LLM) that serves as the basis for generative AI. The focus is on developing a Japanese-language-specific generative AI with world-class performance. SoftBank will also loan out the graphics processing units (GPUs) it will purchase from Nvidia to other companies.

Large Language Model Ambitions

SoftBank expects to complete the development of a 390 billion-parameter model by fiscal 2024. The company will start developing a high-performance model with 1 trillion parameters as early as next year. This model is a de facto benchmark for world-class performance, with the number of parameters in GPT-4, developed by OpenAI of the U.S., which performed well on a mock bar exam, reaching the trillion-parameter range.

Benchmarking Against Global Standards

At present, U.S. tech companies such as OpenAI are ahead in terms of both performance and investment. Japanese companies, including NTT and NEC, have entered the market, but the number of parameters in their models runs from several billion to several tens of billions. SoftBank’s large language model ambitions aim to benchmark against global standards and develop a Japanese-language-specific generative AI with world-class performance.

Generative AI is starting to be integrated into services and products in various industries. The Japanese generative AI market is expected to grow to around $13 billion by 2030, which is 17 times larger than in 2023, according to Statista, a German research specialist. The stock market is responding positively to SoftBank’s move to create its own AI. Investors are betting generative AI will be good for business.

Market Impact and Projections

SoftBank invests $960m in computing for AI. Market impact and projections illustrated

Japanese AI Market Growth

The generative AI market in Japan is expected to grow significantly in the coming years, with Statista projecting it to reach around $13 billion by 2030. This represents a 17-fold increase from the market size in 2023. The growth is driven by the increasing integration of generative AI into services and products across various industries. SoftBank’s investment of $960 million to boost computing power for generative AI is expected to further fuel the growth of the market, as the company aims to develop a Japanese-language-specific generative AI with world-class performance.

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Stock Market Response

SoftBank’s move to create its own AI has had a positive impact on the stock market, with the company’s share price hitting 2,064 yen in late March 2024, the highest since its listing in 2018. Investors are betting that generative AI will be good for business, and SoftBank’s investment in computing infrastructure is believed to be the largest of any Japanese company. While U.S. tech companies such as Open AI are currently ahead in terms of both performance and investment, SoftBank’s investment is expected to position the company as a major player in the generative AI market.

International Competition and Domestic Importance

SoftBank invests $960m to enhance AI computing power, aiming for global competition

Current Global Leaders

The race to develop generative AI has become a highly competitive field among countries around the world. At present, U.S. tech companies such as OpenAI are leading the way in terms of both performance and investment. OpenAI is known for developing large language models with a high number of parameters, such as GPT-3 with 175 billion parameters, which performed well on various language tasks.

China is also making significant investments in AI, with the government setting a goal to become the world leader in AI by 2030. In 2020, China’s total AI investment reached $15.2 billion, according to a report by McKinsey & Company. The country’s leading tech companies, such as Alibaba and Baidu, are also investing heavily in AI research and development.

Japanese Technological Advancements

SoftBank’s recent investment in computing power for generative AI is a sign of Japan’s growing interest in this field. While Japanese companies, including NTT and NEC, have entered the market, the number of parameters in their models runs from several billion to several tens of billions, which is still far behind the trillion-parameter range.

However, SoftBank’s investment is expected to give the company the computing power needed to develop world-class generative AI, and the company’s share price has already seen an increase as investors bet on the potential success of the project. The Japanese generative AI market is expected to grow to around $13 billion by 2030, according to a forecast by Statista.

Domestically generated AI is also considered important by countries around the world. In Japan, the government has set a goal to create a “Society 5.0” where AI and other advanced technologies are used to solve social problems and improve people’s lives. The government is also promoting research and development in AI through various initiatives, such as the “AI Japan R&D Network” and the “AI Grand Challenge.”

In conclusion, the development of generative AI has become a highly competitive field among countries around the world. While the U.S. and China are currently leading the way, Japan’s recent investment in computing power for generative AI is a sign of the country’s growing interest in this field. Domestically generated AI is also considered important by countries around the world, including Japan, where the government is promoting research and development in AI through various initiatives.

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China

China’s Sinking Cities: The Looming Crisis of Subsidence and Rising Sea Levels

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Introduction

China’s coastal cities, home to over 400 million people, are facing a dual threat of subsidence and rising sea levels, according to a recent study. The study, published in the journal Science, found that a quarter of China’s coastal land will sink below sea level within a century, putting millions of lives and trillions of dollars in infrastructure at risk.

Subsidence and Sea Level Rise

Subsidence, or the sinking of the land, is a natural process that occurs when the ground settles or compacts over time. However, in China’s coastal cities, the process is being accelerated by human activities, such as the over-extraction of groundwater and the weight of buildings.

The study, conducted by researchers from the Chinese Academy of Sciences and the University of California, Berkeley, analyzed satellite data and found that the rate of subsidence in China’s coastal cities has increased by up to 50% in the past decade. The researchers also found that the subsidence is linked to changes in groundwater levels and the weight of buildings.

At the same time, sea levels are also rising due to climate change. According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), sea levels have risen by about 3.3 millimetres per year over the past 25 years. In China’s coastal cities, the combination of subsidence and sea level rise is creating a crisis that is only expected to worsen in the coming decades.

Impact on Coastal Cities

The impact of subsidence and sea level rise on China’s coastal cities is already being felt. In Shanghai, the city’s iconic Bund waterfront has sunk by up to 2.6 meters over the past century, while in Tianjin, the city’s central business district has sunk by up to 2.5 meters.

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The subsidence is causing a range of problems, from increased flooding to damage to buildings and infrastructure. In some areas, the subsidence has caused roads and buildings to crack, while in other areas, it has led to the flooding of entire neighbourhoods.

The cost of addressing the subsidence and sea level rise crisis in China’s coastal cities is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars. The Chinese government has already spent billions of dollars on measures such as building sea walls and pumping sand onto eroding beaches. However, these measures are only a temporary solution and do not address the root causes of the subsidence.

Expert Opinions

Experts warn that the subsidence and sea level rise crisis in China’s coastal cities is a ticking time bomb. “The situation is very serious and requires urgent action,” said Dr. Xiaojun Yin, a researcher at the Chinese Academy of Sciences and one of the authors of the study. “We need to reduce the extraction of groundwater and find ways to reduce the weight of buildings.”

Dr. Robert Nicholls, a professor of coastal engineering at the University of Southampton, agrees. “China’s coastal cities are facing a perfect storm of subsidence and sea level rise,” he said. “The Chinese government needs to take urgent action to address the root causes of the subsidence and invest in long-term solutions to protect its coastal cities.”

Conclusion

China’s coastal cities are facing a crisis of subsidence and sea level rise that is only expected to worsen in the coming decades. The crisis is being driven by human activities, such as the over-extraction of groundwater and the weight of buildings. The Chinese government needs to take urgent action to address the root causes of the subsidence and invest in long-term solutions to protect its coastal cities.

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The cost of addressing the crisis is estimated to be in the trillions of dollars, but the cost of inaction is likely to be much higher. Millions of lives and trillions of dollars in infrastructure are at risk. The Chinese government must act now to prevent a catastrophic flood from engulfing its coastal cities.

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