Analysis

Imran Khan’s graceless exit

Published

1 year ago

April 11, 2022

Leaders come and go, but the manner in which Prime Minister Imran Khan was ousted from power through a parliamentary vote of no confidence has no precedent in Pakistani history.

After the opposition had mustered the necessary support of the members of the National Assembly, Khan could have resigned and exited from power with grace. Instead, he chose to cling to power until the last moment by sabotaging the vote of no confidence proceedings, despite a clear verdict from the Supreme Court to complete the voting process on Saturday. A cricket legend who played politics like a T-20 match; he kept the nation on its toes until midnight. His ego seemed bigger than the country he led.

Khan promised to build a new ‘Naya’ Pakistan, a thriving nation free from corruption beyond the dynastic politics of the past. But his nearly four years of narcissistic rule have been so nightmarish that ultimately public representatives opted to vote for Old Pakistan.

Khan leaves behind a nation with deeply polarised politics, an economy nearing collapse, and a foreign policy that has ruptured relations with major powers and trusted allies. Challenges that will be difficult to surmount by his successor, Shehbaz Sharif, the leader of Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz.

Pakistan has a chequered political history. In the past half century, long military rules have been followed by unstable civilian eras. This instability is often the result of the military’s intrusion into politics. The current impasse is no different, except that the alternative leader the generals tried to cultivate eventually became a Frankenstein.

To be sure, the post-Musharraf transition to democracy is different from the previous two such transitions of the 70’s and 90’s in the sense that rapid urbanization in the past couple of decades has produced a middle class that is no longer apolitical. Khan’s personal charm galvanised this class, especially its youth segment, leading to the emergence of PTI as a potent challenge to mainstream political parties, including the PMLN and Pakistan People’s Party.

Instead of focusing on the economy, Khan pursued a vengeful accountability drive against the leaders of PMLN and PPP. Their character assassination by trolls on social media, with unfounded accusations of corruption and treason, has introduced a level of toxicity in politics never seen before.
Ishtiaq Ahmad

In the PTI’s rise, the military saw an opportunity to discredit both parties. Thus began the unique experiment of a regime built on the premise that civilian and military leaders would remain on the ‘same page.’ The bargain was that Khan would receive unwavering support from the military leadership and his government would, in return, deliver tangible economic outcomes through better governance. Keeping the opposition at bay was a shared interest.

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But this bargain took no time to flicker due to the bad economic start of the Khan regime. It wasted almost a year in negotiating a bailout package with the IMF worth $6 billion, which devaluated the rupee. The subsequent period has seen further economic mismanagement amid the global pandemic, curtailing the GDP growth rate from 5.9% in 2018 to 3.4% this year. IMF conditionalities have led to double digit inflation. Foreign borrowing has raised the debt burden significantly. The economic corridor project with China is derailed. Unemployment has also skyrocketed. There is deep public disillusionment as a result.

Instead of focusing on the economy, Khan pursued a vengeful accountability drive against the leaders of PMLN and PPP, who were hounded and jailed on alleged corruption charges that remain unproven in any court of law. Their character assassination by trolls on social media, with unfounded accusations of corruption and treason, has introduced a level of toxicity in politics never seen before.

Islam has been a convenient tool for both military and civilian leaders to divert public attention from real socio-economic issues. But the way Khan has used his religious narrative to cultivate support among the population has no parallel.

Under no circumstances does the military allow civilian leaders to play with its chain of command, but Khan crossed this red line. He also played the American conspiracy card, using a diplomatic cable from the ex-envoy in Washington to claim the no confidence motion was a US ploy to change his regime. All his opponents, he dubbed traitors.

Without the military’s support, Khan could not have made it to the premiership. Its top brassindeed bet on the wrong horse and may have learned a hard lesson. His reckless subversion of the constitution to keep himself in power has also annoyed the judiciary and, perhaps, a significant chunk of his urban middle class supporters who have already borne the brunt of indirect taxes under PTI rule.

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Despite his disgraceful exit from power, Khan retains a cult following among the youth. But with key PTI financiers drifting away and his own accountability about to begin, Khan’s political fate now hangs in the balance. The emergence of PTI as an alternative political force to cater to the rightful aspirations of the middle class was a good thing in the patronage-driven politics of Pakistan. Its demise – at the hands of its own leader – will be quite unfortunate.

Courtesy ARABNEWS

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Analysis

Harry Potter Actor Sir Michael Gambon Dies Aged 82

Published

21 mins ago

September 28, 2023

Abdul Rahman

Table of Contents

Introduction

The film industry is saddened by the loss of Sir Michael Gambon, a beloved actor who recently passed away. He is best known for his portrayal of Professor Albus Dumbledore in the Harry Potter films, but he was also a talented and versatile performer who brought depth and nuance to every role he played. Gambon’s remarkable career spanned a wide range of films and television shows, earning him critical acclaim and the adoration of audiences around the world. Although his passing is a great loss to the industry, his unforgettable performances will ensure that his legacy lives on.

Remembering a Magical Journey

Sir Michael Gambon gained worldwide recognition for his portrayal of Professor Dumbledore in the Harry Potter film series. However, his path to success was not conventional. Nevertheless, his talent and determination eventually led to his achievements.

Early Life and Career

Born in Dublin in 1940, Michael John Gambon displayed a passion for acting from a young age. His early years were filled with stage performances and honing his craft in various theatre productions. This dedication eventually led him to the Royal National Theatre in London, where he solidified his reputation as a versatile and talented actor.

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The Harry Potter Era

Gambon’s most iconic role came in 2004 when he took over the character of Albus Dumbledore from the late Richard Harris in the Harry Potter film series. His portrayal of the wise and enigmatic headmaster won the hearts of fans worldwide. The magic he brought to the role made him an integral part of the series’ success.

Versatility in Acting

Michael Gambon is a versatile actor who has left a lasting impact in various roles beyond his iconic portrayal of Dumbledore in the wizarding world. His impressive range allows him to transition effortlessly between intense dramas and lighthearted comedies. He has garnered critical acclaim and a dedicated fan base for his ability to embody complex characters with authenticity and nuance, showcasing his versatility and adaptability as an actor. Gambon’s performances are marked by a deep understanding of the characters he portrays, cementing his position as one of the greatest British actors of his generation.

The Legacy Lives On

Although Sir Michael Gambon may have left this world, his legacy endures through his body of work and the indelible mark he left on the hearts of his fans.

A Fond Farewell

As we bid farewell to this remarkable actor, we can’t help but feel gratitude for the magic he brought into our lives through his performances. Sir Michael Gambon will always be remembered as a true wizard of the silver screen.

Conclusion

We are saying goodbye to Sir Michael Gambon, a legendary figure in the film industry. His contributions to both the big screen and theatre were remarkable, and his fans around the world will always cherish his unforgettable legacy. Gambon’s performances, particularly as Professor Dumbledore in the Harry Potter film franchise, were enchanting and captivated audiences of all ages. His talent and dedication to his craft were unparalleled, and he will be greatly missed. We honour and celebrate the life and career of a true icon of cinema, whose impact on the world of entertainment will continue to be felt for generations to come.

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FAQs

What were Sir Michael Gambon’s most notable roles?

Sir Michael Gambon is best known for his portrayal of Professor Albus Dumbledore in the Harry Potter film series. He also had memorable roles in movies like “The Cook, the Thief, His Wife & Her Lover” and “Gosford Park.”

How did Sir Michael Gambon contribute to the Harry Potter series?

Gambon stepped into the role of Albus Dumbledore after the passing of Richard Harris. His portrayal brought depth and gravitas to the character, ensuring the continued success of the film series.

What awards did Sir Michael Gambon win during his career?

Gambon received numerous accolades, including Olivier Awards for his work in theater and a BAFTA Award for his contribution to British cinema.

What made Sir Michael Gambon’s acting style unique?

Gambon’s ability to immerse himself in diverse roles and convey complex emotions set him apart. His commanding presence and emotional range made every performance memorable.

How will Sir Michael Gambon be remembered by the film industry?

Gambon’s legacy as an actor of unparalleled talent and versatility will continue to inspire aspiring actors and filmmakers for generations to come.

Are there any upcoming projects featuring Sir Michael Gambon?

While Sir Michael Gambon has left us, his existing body of work remains a testament to his incredible talent and dedication.

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Analysis

Why Beijing’s security pact with Solomons has been a huge blunder

Published

18 hours ago

September 27, 2023

Abdul Rahman

Introduction

In April 2022, China and the Solomon Islands signed a security pact that has raised alarm bells in the Pacific region and beyond. The pact, which remains secret, has been widely interpreted as giving China the right to establish a military base in the Solomon Islands. This would be a major departure from the country’s long-standing policy of neutrality, and would represent a significant expansion of Chinese military power in the Pacific.

The security pact has been met with widespread condemnation from Western countries, including the United States, Australia, and New Zealand. They argue that the pact undermines regional security and stability, and that it could be used by China to assert its dominance over the Pacific.

The Solomon Islands government has defended the pact, arguing that it is necessary to protect the country’s sovereignty and security. However, many Solomon Islanders are opposed to the pact, and there have been protests and riots in the capital city of Honiara.

The blunder of Beijing’s security pact with Solomons

Beijing’s decision to sign a security pact with the Solomon Islands has been a huge blunder. It has alienated the Solomon Islands’ traditional allies, damaged China’s reputation in the Pacific, and increased tensions in the region.

Why is the pact a blunder?

There are several reasons why Beijing’s security pact with the Solomon Islands is a blunder.

It undermines regional security and stability. The pact is seen by Western countries as a threat to the status quo in the Pacific. They worry that it could be used by China to project its power in the region and to challenge the US-led security architecture.
It damages China’s reputation in the Pacific. The pact has been widely criticized by Pacific Island leaders, who see it as a sign of China’s growing assertiveness in the region. It has also raised concerns about China’s intentions in the Pacific, and has led to calls for a more united and coordinated response from Pacific Island countries.
It increases tensions in the region. The pact has exacerbated tensions between China and the United States, and has led to a war of words between the two countries. It has also increased tensions between China and its neighbors in the Pacific, such as Australia and New Zealand.

The impact of the pact

The pact has had a significant impact on the Solomon Islands and on the wider Pacific region.

In the Solomon Islands, the pact has led to a political crisis. The opposition has called for the prime minister, Manasseh Sogavare, to resign, and there have been protests and riots in the capital city of Honiara. The pact has also damaged the Solomon Islands’ reputation on the world stage.
In the wider Pacific region, the pact has led to increased tensions between China and the United States, and between China and its neighbors. It has also led to calls for a more united and coordinated response from Pacific Island countries to China’s growing assertiveness in the region.

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The future of the pact

The future of the security pact is uncertain. The Solomon Islands government has said that it will not allow China to establish a military base in the country, but it has not released the full text of the pact, so it is unclear what the agreement actually says.

The United States and its allies are trying to persuade the Solomon Islands to abandon the pact. They have offered the Solomon Islands a security assistance package and have pledged to work with the country to address its security concerns.

It is possible that the Solomon Islands government will decide to modify or even abandon the pact. However, it is also possible that the pact will remain in place, in which case it will have a significant impact on the security landscape in the Pacific region.

The implications of the pact for China’s Belt and Road Initiative

The security pact with the Solomon Islands has raised concerns about the implications of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) for regional security. The BRI is a massive infrastructure development project that aims to connect China to the rest of the world through a network of roads, railways, and ports.

China has invested heavily in the Solomon Islands under the BRI. In 2019, China signed a $1 billion deal to develop the Honiara port. China has also funded other infrastructure projects in the Solomon Islands, such as roads and bridges.

The security pact has led to concerns that China could use its economic investments in the Solomon Islands to pressure the country to support its foreign policy goals. It has also raised concerns that China could use its infrastructure projects in the Solomon Islands to gain military access to the region.

The implications of the security pact for the BRI are significant. If China is seen as using its economic investments to pressure countries to support its foreign policy goals, it could damage China’s reputation and make it more difficult for the country to attract investment for

the BRI. Additionally, if China is seen as using its infrastructure projects to gain military access to other countries, it could lead to a backlash from other countries in the region and could even lead to conflict.

The outlook for the security pact

The outlook for the security pact is uncertain. The Solomon Islands government has said that it will not allow China to establish a military base in the country, but it has not released the full text of the pact, so it is unclear what the agreement actually says.

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Conclusion

The pact has also raised concerns about the implications of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) for regional security. If China is seen as using its economic investments to pressure countries to support its foreign policy goals, or if it is seen as using its infrastructure projects to gain military access to other countries, it could damage China’s reputation and make it more difficult for the country to attract investment for the BRI.

The outlook for the security pact is uncertain. However, if the pact remains in place, it will have a significant impact on the security landscape in the Pacific region.

Recommendations for the Solomon Islands government

The Solomon Islands government should consider the following recommendations:

Release the full text of the security pact. This would allow the Solomon Islands people and the international community to understand the full implications of the pact.
Review the security pact. The Solomon Islands government should review the agreement to ensure that it is in the country’s best interests. It should also consider modifying the pact to address the concerns of its allies and neighbours.
Engage in dialogue with its allies and neighbours. The Solomon Islands government should engage in conversation with its partners and neighbours to explain the security pact and to address their concerns. It should also work with its allies and neighbours to develop a common approach to security in the Pacific region.

Recommendations for the international community

The international community should consider the following recommendations:

Support the Solomon Islands. The international community should support the Solomon Islands in its efforts to address its security concerns. This could involve providing financial assistance, training, and equipment.
Engage in dialogue with China. The international community should engage in dialogue with China to express its concerns about the security pact and to urge China to be more transparent about its intentions in the Pacific region.
Promote cooperation in the Pacific region. The international community should promote cooperation among Pacific Island countries on security issues. This could involve developing common strategies for dealing with challenges such as climate change, maritime security, and transnational crime.

The security pact between China and the Solomon Islands is a significant development with implications for the security landscape in the Pacific region. It is important for all stakeholders to work together to ensure that the pact does not undermine regional security and stability.

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Analysis

Opinion : How China Can Avoid the Japan Trap

Published

1 day ago

September 27, 2023

Abdul Rahman

Table of Contents

Introduction

The rise of China as a global economic and political powerhouse has been one of the most significant developments of the 21st century. With its rapid economic growth, technological advancements, and expanding global influence, China has often been compared to Japan’s ascent in the 20th century. However, there are important lessons to be learned from Japan’s experience that can help China navigate its path to continued success while avoiding the so-called “Japan trap.” In this opinion piece, we will delve into the parallels between China and Japan’s economic trajectories and explore strategies that China can employ to sidestep potential pitfalls and ensure long-term sustainable growth.

I. The Japan Experience

To understand the Japan trap and its implications for China, it is essential to examine Japan’s economic history. In the post-World War II era, Japan emerged from the devastation of war to become an economic juggernaut. The nation’s export-led growth strategy, driven by industries like automobiles and electronics, propelled it to the world’s second-largest economy by the late 20th century.

However, Japan’s rapid ascent came to an abrupt halt in the early 1990s when it experienced a severe economic downturn, known as the “Lost Decade.” This period of stagnation, marked by asset bubbles bursting, skyrocketing real estate prices, and deflation, lasted much longer than anticipated and had a profound impact on Japan’s economy and society.

The Japan trap refers to the risk of falling into a similar prolonged period of economic stagnation, characterized by low growth, deflation, and mounting debt. China, with its remarkable economic growth, faces some parallels with Japan’s past and must take proactive steps to avoid a similar fate.

II. Lessons from Japan

Overreliance on Exports: One of the key factors contributing to Japan’s economic downturn was its overreliance on exports. Chinese exports have played a pivotal role in its economic growth, but the risk of overdependence on international markets is real. To avoid the Japan trap, China must focus on bolstering domestic consumption and reducing its reliance on external demand.
Asset Bubbles and Speculation: Japan’s economic bubble was fueled by rampant speculation in real estate and financial markets. China has experienced similar concerns, with soaring property prices in major cities. It is crucial for Chinese policymakers to take proactive measures to prevent asset bubbles from destabilizing the economy.
Aging Population: Japan’s aging population is a significant challenge that has contributed to its economic woes. China, too, is facing a demographic shift with an aging population. Investing in healthcare, social security, and policies that encourage family planning can mitigate the adverse effects of an aging workforce.
Innovation and Technological Advancement: Japan’s economic growth was built on its prowess in innovation and technology. For China to avoid the Japan trap, it must continue to invest heavily in research and development, intellectual property protection, and the cultivation of a culture of innovation.
Financial Sector Reform: Japan’s financial sector was plagued by inefficiencies and non-performing loans during its downturn. China must implement robust financial sector reforms to ensure transparency, accountability, and the efficient allocation of capital.

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III. Strategies for China’s Future

Diversify the Economy: China should diversify its economy by shifting away from an excessive reliance on exports and manufacturing. Developing a robust services sector, investing in green technologies, and supporting small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) can contribute to economic resilience.
Prudent Fiscal Policies: To avoid excessive debt accumulation, China should pursue prudent fiscal policies. This includes careful management of government debt and avoiding stimulus measures that could lead to unsustainable levels of indebtedness.
Promote Domestic Consumption: Encouraging domestic consumption is paramount. Policies that increase household income, consumer confidence, and social safety nets can stimulate spending and reduce dependence on exports.
Invest in Human Capital: To offset the effects of an aging population, China should invest in its human capital. This includes improving education, healthcare, and elderly care systems to ensure a healthy and productive workforce.
Regulatory Reform: China must prioritize regulatory reform to create a more transparent and business-friendly environment. Streamlining bureaucracy, protecting intellectual property, and ensuring fair competition are essential steps.
Global Cooperation: Collaboration with other nations is crucial to navigate the challenges of a globalized world. China should actively engage in international organizations and work on mutually beneficial trade agreements.
Environmental Sustainability: China’s commitment to environmental sustainability is not only essential for the planet but also for long-term economic stability. Embracing clean energy, reducing pollution, and promoting sustainable practices can enhance China’s competitiveness.

IV. Conclusion

China’s rise as a global economic powerhouse is undeniable, and comparisons with Japan’s past are inevitable. However, the Japan trap serves as a stark reminder that unchecked growth can lead to unforeseen challenges and prolonged economic stagnation. To ensure a prosperous and sustainable future, China must learn from Japan’s experience and implement a comprehensive set of strategies, including diversification of the economy, prudent fiscal policies, domestic consumption promotion, investment in human capital, regulatory reform, global cooperation, and a commitment to environmental sustainability.

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The world is watching as China continues its remarkable journey, and the lessons it draws from history will shape not only its destiny but also the global economic landscape. Avoiding the Japan trap is not just a matter of economic policy; it is a test of China’s adaptability and determination to secure a stable and prosperous future for its people and the world at large.

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